Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 4 – The Magas Case,
which began exactly a year ago, showed that civic protests could bring down a
Kremlin appointee in the regions but also that Russian siloviki have resolved
to deploy even more pressure against the Ingush lest this become a model for
other nations within the current borders of the Russian Federation, Sultan
Kodzoyev says.
On the pages of Portal Six, the
Ingush commentator argues that there is no question that disciplined and
peaceful civic protests were responsible for the ouster of Yunus-Bek Yevkurov
who lost all authority when he gave up ten percent of the republic’s land to
Chechnya in a backroom deal (6portal.ru/posts/магасское-дело-новая-страница-в-гра/).
But equally clearly, that victory
for civil society prompted the powers that be to unleash a campaign of
repression against the Ingush people not only to prevent them from building on
their success in the republic but also to discourage others from trying the
same tactics by showing how high the price would be.
Kodzoyev says that now, a year after
it began, “the Magas case” has “only solidified civil society in Ingushetia and
in many other regions and prom prompted them to insist on their rights being
observed.” That gives some hope that if Moscow tries to repeat what it has done
in Ingushetia, society would rise up against it.
According to the Ingush commentator,
“the Kremlin wasn’t expecting such a drawn out process or even more the shift
in the focus of the protests” from being about the border to being primarily
about the liberation of political prisoners,” a shift that means the situation
has passed from being under the regime’s control.
As a result, he continues, what we
have today is “the very same protest electorate which rejects the initiatives
of the federal authorities … sabotages all events significant to the state, and
has received broader support in protest circles of the rest of the country,”
thereby undermining the authority of Moscow and the regional powers that be.
Kodzoyev spoke with two experts to
get their reactions about the meaning of the past year in Ingushetia, Ilya
Grashchenkov of the Center for the Development of Regional Policy and Andrey
Sabinin of the Agora international human rights organization.
According to the former, “Ingushetia
has triggered a wave of federalization for all of Russia” during the pandemic
and about other issues in Buryatia, Kalmykia, Sakha, and Tuva, by showing what is possible and by standing
up to the pressure of the authorities after the initial demonstration.
The powers may have been able to
create the illusion of calm and stability, but they have in fact undermined
their position just below the surface, Grashchenkov says.
Sabinin adds that the way in which
the powers have gone about suppressing the Ingush protests has undermined the
rule of law and made future protests ultimately more likely. There are several reasons for that but they spring
from what people can see is the willingness of the powers that be to lie in
order to repress any disagreement.
Before
very long, the lawyer suggests, judges in Ingushetia are going to be confronted
by the following question: “If you don’t trust the [Russian] procurator general
and the [Russian] Supreme Court, why are you still working instead of leaving
the bench?”
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