Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 4 – Seven
hundred of the 1450 schools in the North Caucasus republic of Daghestan have to
operate with double shifts, and 16 more have to operate on a three-shift basis
because there are far more children than there are schools. And many of these schools are in horrific
condition.
These figures provide a useful
correction to the mistaken conclusions Russian commentators routinely offer and
that some in the West accept without thinking about fertility rates in the
North Caucasus and the changing relative size of the predominantly Muslim
peoples of that region and the ethnic Russian nation.
It is true that fertility rates are
falling in the North Caucasus with the number of children women in each
succeeding generation declining, but that by itself does not mean that the
population explosion there has ended. It has only eased as a simple arithmetic calculation
will show.
If Daghestani women have only three
children each now compared with five or six a generation ago, there will still
be five or six having three children for a total of 15 to 18 children in that
succeeding generation. That contrasts
with rates among ethnic Russians where fertility rates are below 1.5 children
per woman and hence only 1.5 times 1.5 additional pupils.
This divergence is especially
obvious in Daghestan, the most Muslim republic in the Russian Federation. The new statistics, assembled from government
agencies by the Kavkaz-Uzel agency, are a striking indication of just how large
the new rising generation of non-Russians there is.
Because the authorities have not
invested in schools – 657 Daghestani schools don’t have indoor toilets, 184 don’t
have water supplies, and 40 percent have no emergency medical supplies – many Daghestani
children are now forced to go to school in shifts (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/288574/
and sobkorr.ru/news/57C96C10EE114.html).
Moreover, 119 schools in Daghestan
are officially recognized as being in danger of collapse. And in one case, where a school burned down
because there was no local fire brigade, local residents have been trying to
build a replacement but to date at least, Kavkaz-Uzel reports, it is in bad
condition.
Despite promises by the authorities
to eliminate double and triple shifts, the numbers of children in them in
Daghestan are going up. In 2013, 1839 Daghestanis were forced to go to the
third shift for their schooling; now, some 2370 are.
But if the authorities can’t find
money to repair schools, they have found it to open special classes to train
young Daghestanis on Cossack traditions.
Students from more than 30 different nationalities are learning how to
become Cossacks, a reminder that the widespread assumptions that Cossacks are
just Russians are wrong (nazaccent.ru/content/21770-pervyj-v-dagestane-kazachij-klass-otkrylsya.html).
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