Paul
Goble
Staunton, August 13 – Russia faces a
massive brain drain because those seeking to leave Russia now in ever greater
numbers are the most educated and competent, Lev Gudkov says; and they are
leaving precisely because of way in which the Putin regime is treating civil
society, the decline in incomes, and growing income inequality.
The Levada Center director tells VOA’s
Viktor Vladimirov that Russia today is “really observing the fourth wave of
outflow and that is is connected first of all with the increasingly tough domestic
situation and the strengthening of the authoritarian regime” (golos-ameriki.ru/a/lev-gudkov-on-russian-brain-drain/3980619.html).
Now, the most successful people are
fleeing, not necessarily forever but rather to give themselves and their
children the opportunity to outlive and outlast the current regime in Moscow.
Indeed, many of them retain their homes in Russia, expecting that eventually
they may be able to return, Gudkov says.
This makes the current emigration
very different from its predecessors, including those of the 1990s when “Jews,
Germans and other ethnic communities left in massive numbers.”
Given Moscow’s current policies of
militarism, gigantism and isolation, the sociologist continues, there is little
chance that the people leaving now will decide to return anytime soon. It
simply will take too long for Russia to change back into a country in which
they can place their hopes for their futures and those of their children.
Most Russians are still trying to
adapt to the current situation and are not thinking about leaving, but while “emigration
touches a not very large contingent of the population, [what it does affect]
are “extraordinarily important for our society, the most educated, the most active
and the most capable part.”
They are the drivers of Russian
development, and “without them, the country is not in a position to rise up and
consistently develop. And this part of the population feels itself extremely
uncomfortable.” Among its numbers are people in mid-sized and small business,
technology, and science, all of whom feel under pressure from the regime.
One way or another, Gudkov says, “all
the academic scientific milieu is degrading under bureaucratic control and low
financing. Also suffering are spheres of culture, education and medicine.” But
no society can afford to lose people in these segments in large numbers even if
their share of the population at large remains relatively small.
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