Paul
Goble
Staunton, May 9 – One of the most unfortunate
anomalies in the Russian political system is that Russia does not have a real council
of minister because “the most influential people [in the country] are not
ministers” and the prime minister is being retained for another term because “he
isn’t trying to govern,” according to Sergey Shelin.
That means that this or that
individual in the council may on occasion succeed in promoting a particular
policy, the Rosbalt commentator says; but it also means that the government as
a collective body does not have a policy
and often fails to pursue policies that are consistent across the board (rosbalt.ru/blogs/2018/05/08/1701734.html).
Clearly, Shelin
continues, Putin want the situation that exists or does not see a way of
overcoming it without creating problems for himself and his powerful allies outside
of the government itself. But as long as
this situation continues, Moscow’s policies are likely to proceed in fits and
starts rather than along a united front.
Dmitry Medvedev has been retained in
his post for two “interconnected” qualities: “he does not try to give orders to
his influential subordinates, and he in no way looks like a competitor of his
boss.” Occasionally, he assembles people
and tries to take a common decision and give common directions; but he does not
always succeed.
The ministers have their own agendas
and their own power bases, and they seldom depend on Medvedev. And that
arrangement means that this somewhat chaotic arrangement forms “the top of the
Russian power machine. But there is now no organ like the Soviet Politburo in
which all the heavyweights are included and which has the last word on all
questions.”
This problem is broader than just
the council of ministers, Shelin says. The Presidential Administration or the
Security Council despite their undoubted power do not have all embracing
authority. And consequently, there isn’t the consistency or the accountability
that makes a government effective in the pursuit of its goals.
It is of course welcome news that
Putin is now “promising the people improvement and the renewal of living
standards,” he continues. “This is better than promising a further tightening
of belts.” But the government has no
means of ensuring that all its actions will be directed toward that end because
there isn’t the single controlling structure to guarantee such an outcome.
And that matters more than bringing
in any number of new people or expelling any number of older ones, Shelin
argues, because however effective the former are or however ineffective the
latter have been, there is no surety that the new combination of personnel will
move in a single direction for long.
The rearranging of cadres and
responsibilities, of course, is not yet finished; “but its outline is already
clear. A polite person would call the conjunction of new and varied officials a
new government command. And an optimist would say that even though there is no
a single ruling command, changes do give a weak hope for some rationalization of
policy.”
That hope, unfortunately, “is really
weak, but why dispel it before one has to?” Shelin asks in tones almost of despair.
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