Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 2 – In Ingushetia,
Chechnya’s Ramzan Kadyrov provoked a national rising against himself and
Ingushetia head Yunus-Bek Yevkurov when the two agreed to a one-sided land deal
last September that took land away from the smallest subject of the Russian
Federation and gave it to Chechnya.
That protest continues and is
increasingly directed more toward the ouster of Yevkurov than toward the
reversal of the border accord the two men reached. Indeed, there is evidence that the situation
is rapidly spinning out of control with the opposition ever more radical and
Yevkurov and his Moscow backers increasingly willing to use force.
Now, in his dealings with Daghestan,
the Chechen leader has managed to infuriate people by secretly and unilaterally
demarcating the border between the two republics -- but so far only the
government rather than the population as a whole. How long that will last
remains to be seen (ekhokavkaza.com/a/29856988.html and kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/333754/).
It is common ground that the
Daghestani population, which is far more ethnically subdivided than any other
federal subject and thus a complete contrast with ethnically homogeneous
Ingushetia. But Daghestani officials and Daghestanis in the border region are
infuriated by Kadyrov’s approach.
The Chechen leader has insisted that
the talks on the border between the two republics be conducted in secrecy,
sparking fears that he plans to force Makhachkala to make concessions it
wouldn’t dare if the population knew about them and leading some to demand
Moscow intervene (windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2019/02/information-vacuum-around-daghestan.html
and windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2019/02/daghestanis-fear-theyll-lose-land-to.html.)
Now, either to insure themselves
against popular anger or to put pressure on Kadyrov and his Moscow backers, the
Daghestani parliament has voted to demand that one transfer of territory in the
Kizlyar district be nullified and that its registration in the Chechen State
Land Registry be changed as well.
On its official site today, the
National Assembly of Daghestan declared that “the unilateral definition of the border”
by Chechnya as seems to have happened is “impermissible.” The republic
parliament said it has sent letters about this to the North Caucasus Federal
District and to the head of the Chechen parliament.
As of now, neither Moscow’s representatives
nor the Chechen authorities have responded. But if the Daghestanis move to
restore the pre-existing border, that will set the stage for a conflict that could
be even more serious than the one in Ingushetia, not between the people and
powers as there but between two separate republics.
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