Paul
Goble
Staunton, February 21 – Despite Makhachkala’s
promises to be open and even to include activists in discussions about
demarcating the border between Daghestan and Chechnya, many Daghestanis say
that a nearly complete “information vacuum” around the talks is sparking fears
that Daghestan may be about to make unconscionable concessions to Chechnya.
If that happens, they say, it could
lead to a repetition of what happened in Ingushetia when tens of thousands of
people went into the streets to protest after Yunus-Bek Yevkurov agreed to hand
over to more than 26,000 hectares of land to Chechnya’s Ramzan Kadyrov in a
September 26 agreement they concluded behind closed doors (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/332011/).
Daghestani officials say that the two
republic governments have reached an agreement which does not involve any
territorial concessions by either side, but leaks from the talks suggests that
Chechnya has demanded that Makhachkala hand over several districts and that Daghestan
has agreed.
If that is true, Daghestanis even
though they appear less inclined to protest such things because of ethnic
divisions within the republic would likely unite to demonstrate their anger at
the obvious duplicity of the leaders of their republic. To prevent that from
happening, Makhachkala has formed “a public commission” on the border but its
powers are uncertain.
A week ago, officials promised to
include them in the government and parliamentary commissions; but so far there
is no clear indication that this has happened. And some in this “public
commission” are beginning to think that the entire business may have been designed
only to stifle public anger.
The Kavkaz-Uzel news agency reports that ever fewer Daghestanis are
indifferent to what happens in the border talks even though they and their ethnic
communities may not be directly affected. The agency says that people are no
longer prepared to assume that “’everything is in order’” just because the
republic government says so.
And people living in border areas,
whether they in fact will be affected by any change, are increasingly alarmed.
Their anger may be the spark that touches off broader protests unless the
authorities can play one ethnic group off against another as it has done in the
past, a strategy that is increasingly fraught with risks for stability there.
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