Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 2 – Twenty years
ago, Russians overwhelmingly wanted a strong hand to restore order; but now,
having seen what that order looks like and what it doesn’t deliver, ever more
of them both among the systemic liberals and the population as a whole would
like to see Russia transformed into a parliamentary republic, the editors of Nezavisimaya gazeta say.
The last occasion before this during
which the advantages of a parliamentary republic over a super-presidential
system was during the election when both registered and unregistered liberal
candidates made an argument for it, the paper says. But then the idea
disappeared from the media and appeared to die out (ng.ru/editorial/2019-04-01/2_7545_red.html).
But now the idea is having a
revival, in part as a result of the work of sociologist Sergey Belanovsky, who
gained attention for predicting the 2011-2012 protests. Those taking part in
focus groups he organized say they want to move away from the strong hand they
wanted earlier to a more democratic arrangement (finversia.ru/obsor/blogs/sergei-belanovskii-negativnoe-otnoshenie-k-vlasti-narastaet-55531).
“To
a large extent,” Belanovsky says, the Russian people have gone through a cycle:
after a time with the strong hand in Soviet times, they wanted democracy; after
democracy was accompanied by disorder, they wanted a strong hand; and now that
they have had a strong hand again, they want democracy in the hopes that system
will solve the problems Russia faces.
Among
those who have advocated parliamentary democracy most consistently, the paper’s
editors say, is Mikhail Khodorkovsky, the émigré opposition leader. He has argued that the legislature must consist
of representatives of major regions and not necessarily be dominated by party
groups.
Russians
want a more democratic system, Nezavisimaya
gazeta says, not only because they are angry that the current
presidentialist system does not seem to be addressing their concerns but also
because many are worried about the overall direction Russia is heading,
including the militarization of the economy and international isolation.
“In
general,” the editors continue, “the people are calling for a parliamentary
republic because the presidential model hasn’t worked.” But that is the
problem: the Russian people know what hasn’t worked and want something else. A
parliamentary republic is “something else.” But the systemic liberals haven’t
yet provided a convincing idea about exactly how it would work.
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