Paul
Goble
Staunton, May 7 – Despite what most
Russians appear to believe, there is a far higher percentage of illegal
immigrants among Moldovans and Ukrainians working in the Russian Federation
than among Tajiks or Uzbeks, according to Vladimir Mukomel, a specialist on
migration at the Moscow Institute of Sociology.
According to the data he has
collected, approximately 60 percent of the Moldovans working in the Russian
Federation are doing so illegally, the Academy of Sciences scholar said, but he
added that he is convinced that the actual percentage of illegals among them is
greater than that (rosbalt.ru/moscow/2013/05/07/1124414.html).
The reason is that Moldovans, like
Ukrainians “are visually indistinguishable from Russians” and thus are not
stopped by the police or noticed by Russians nearly as often. In fact, his research shows, “they have
significantly fewer contacts with the police than do Russians who are visually
distinguishable from the ethnic majority” such as the Kalmyks or Yakuts.
According to Mukomel, 64 percent of
Moldovans working in the trade sector in Russia re doing so illegally, as are
66 percent of those working in construction.
Moreover, “only 13 percent of working migrants have written contacts,”
and even among those in Russia legally, 44 percent are doing so without the
required contract.
The sociologist told Rosbalt’s Anna
Semenets that no one knows the exact numbers of Moldovans in Russia. His best
estimate is that there are approximately 500,000, of whom 60 percent are
working, according to Russian officials. But the actual number of Moldovans
employed is “an order of magnitude fewer.”
About half of Moldovans between 20 and
35 who come to Russia do so with their spouses and sometimes with their
children. But “more than half of the labor migrants” from Moldova are widows,
divorced, or single mothers, who “have
come to Russia and evidently do not want to return.”
Polls conducted in Moldova show that
very few people want to move to Russia or, if they go, to remain there for very
long, Mukomel said, but surveys conducted in Russia found that some 45 percent
want to obtain Russian citizenship and remain.
Another 29 percent of those polled in Russia say they want to remain at
least five years.
Many Moldovan gastarbeiters in
Russia have higher or specialized secondary educations, he continued, but few
work in the specialty for which they were trained. Most have to work in trade.
Their average income is 26,200 rubles (880 US dollars) a month but for that
they have to work on average more than 60 hours a week rather than the standard
Russian average of 38.
Just how many Moldovans will come to
the Russian Federation in the future depends on the economy there, the economy
in Moldova and the economy in Europe. If
the Russian economy contracts, fewer will come to Russia and more will look to
Europe, but Russia has one advantage: it is easier for Moldovans to return home
from there than from Western Europe.
Overall, Mukomel said, “about a
third” of the Moldovans now in Russia are unlikely to return to their
homeland. The group most likely to go back,
he added, are young “circular” migrants “who cannot adapt themselves to Russian
realities and find themselves a place in the Russian labor market.”
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