Paul
Goble
Staunton, March 14 – In yet another
indication that the worst is still ahead in Crimea, Russian President Vladimir
Putin unsuccessfully sought to neutralize the Crimean Tatars in a telephone
call with Mustafa Cemilev, the past chairman of the Crimean Tatar Mejlis and
the spiritual leader of his nation.
In an article posted on Grani.ru
yesterday, Aleksandr Podrabinek draws that conclusion after providing the most
detailed reporting yet on what he called the maneuvering this week of “The
Dissident and the Chekist” that culminated in a 30 minute telephone call
between Putin and the Crimean Tatar leader (grani.ru/opinion/podrabinek/m.226636.html).
The Kremlin’s approach to Cemilev is
striking because Moscow has been unwilling to speak with Ukrainian leaders
since the ouster of Viktor Yanukovich by the Maidan forces. On February 18, a senior Russian official met
with Cemilev in Sevastopol and told him that Putin wanted to meet with him.
Cemilev, not surprisingly given his
past as a dissident in Soviet times and especially his role in the creation in
1969 of the Initiative Group for the Defense of Human Rights in the USSR,
treated this suggestion with extreme caution, lest he be “compromised” by a
meeting whose results he could not foresee.
Obviously, the Crimean Tatar leader
did not have to accept. But as the Grani.ru commentator pointed out, he had to
take into account the fact that “the Ukrainian authorities and Western politicians
live with the dream of dialogue with Russia which supposedly will help resolve
the situation in Crimea” and elsewhere.
Ukrainian Prime
Minister Arseni Yatseniuk and the Turkish foreign minister asked Cemilev not to
reject a meeting with Putin. As a result, on Tuesday, Cemilev flew to Moscow
where he met with the Ukrainian and Turkish ambassadors to Russia who also
asked him to agree to meet Putin.
The mediator between Cemilev and
Putin was Mintimir Shaymiyev, the former president of the Republic of
Tatarstan. On Wednesday, Cemilev met with Shaymiyev at the Tatarstan permanent
representation in Moscow, and after a hour-long conversation, Shaymiyev went
into another room and Cemilev was called to the telephone.
On the line was Putin who politely
but firmly reiterated what have become the basic propaganda lines of the
Kremlin about what is occurring in Crimea and Ukraine and what should happen
next. Cemilev subsequently told journalists that he was shocked by Putin’s use
of propaganda as a substitute for argument in what was after all a private
conversation.
The Crimean Tatar leader for his
part responded that however the Crimean issue is resolved, it is essential that
the territorial integrity of Ukraine be preserved. Putin said that he knew how difficult had
been the life of Cemilev and the Crimean Tatars and that an increase in the
powers of the autonomy could be discussed in the future after the March 16
referendum.
Cemilev said that joining Crimea to
Russia would be “a crude violation of the territorial integrity of Ukraine and
the 1994 [Budapest] agreement which guaranteed Ukraine the preservation of its
sovereignty in exchange for its giving up nuclear weapons.” Putin parried that
the residents of Crimea must be allowed to express their opinion.
With regard to the Crimean Tatars,
Putin, in the words of Podrabinek, “promised that all the rights of the Crimean
Tatars will be reestablished quickly and effectively” after the referendum “and
not as had been done in Ukraine.” Cemilev warned that the situation in Crimea
is “explosive” and that provocations were all too possible.
Putin said no one should try that,
adding that he had already given the order that “no harm was to come to the
Crimean Tatars.” Concluding the conversation, the Kremlin leader said he hoped
that their conversation could be continued in the future.
What was this all about? Podrabinek
asks rhetorically. Cemilev hadn’t been in Russia since 1986. He was never a
partner for Russian politicians. And at present, he “does not occupy any
positions even in the Mejlis.” In short,
the Crimean Tatar patriarch would not seem a likely candidate for a
conversation with Putin.
According to the Grani.ru
commentator, Cemilev believes that “Putin wants to achieve the neutrality of
the Crimean Tatars in the current unstable situation,” especially since “the
most serious events are still ahead.”
The Kremlin leader “clearly understands that the Crimean Tatars are the
single real and well-organized political force in Crimea.”
All that suggests, Podrabinek
concludes, that “Moscow is concerned about a military response in Crimea even
if this will be a civil conflict or partisan war” and wants to take steps to
prevent it. At the very least, it would
appear, Putin wants to be in a position to claim that he went as far as he
could to prevent such an eventuality.
But despite this polite phone call, Putin
has failed to shake the position of Cemilev and the Crimean Tatars. He and they
remain committed to the territorial integrity of Ukraine and opposed to the
illegal March 16 referendum that Putin is orchestrating.
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