Paul
Goble
Staunton,, July 14 – Because Moscow has
the largest concentration of Russia’s wealthiest people, most observers aren’t
aware of another and even sadder reality: the city has more poor people than
any other city in Russia, according to the World Bank; and in fact, has become “the
capital of the Russian poor.”
The World Bank reports that “a large
part of Russian poverty is concentrated not in the poorest but in the richest
cities of the country, in particular in Moscow and St. Petersburg,” Stanislav
Zakharkin reports, undermining the widely accepted view that poverty is
concentrated in the provinces (ura.news/articles/1036275549).
“If
we speak about absolute figures,” Liliya Ovcharova of the Higher School of
Economics says, “if even one percent of Muscovites are poor, then one would be
speaking about a hundred thousand people.”
But in fact, the percentage and thus the numbers of poor in the Russian
capital are far larger.
According
to Rosstat figures for 2017, 8.9 percent of Muscovites live below the minimum living
standards the government has established. That represents 1.1 million people, “more
than the population of such millionaire cities as Perm and Krasnoyarsk, the
URA.ru journalist points out. Another
430,000 poor live in St. Petersburg, close to the population of the
Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous District.
What
is worse and what is often forgotten is that living costs in Moscow are much
higher than elsewhere and those who are poor live in close proximity to those
with enormous wealth, something that makes their situation far harder to
bear. And that has “certain political risks,
Ilya Grashchenko of the Center for Regional Politics says.
“In
the provinces, you can feed yourself with a garden,” he says; “but if in Moscow
a majority of people lose the means for survival, then they will go into the streets.
Moscow always is the tribune for the expression of protest. The Kremlin is
there, and people know how to show their dissatisfaction.”
The
Russian government fully understands that risk and will always do more for the
poor in Moscow than it will for others similarly situated in the regions. But that too creates a problem: it makes
Moscow a magnet for those who want to improve their lives or even save them,
leading to even more poor in the city.
Political
analyst Andrey Kolyadin agrees that Moscow’s poor could become a problem. “The
poor population, although paternalistically inclined is not a supporter of the
regime. In the case of socio-economic difficulties, it will be the first to support
the opponents of the powers that be.”
That
puts it at odds with the middle class which “although it doesn’t depend on the state
is interested in stability,” he continues. But Kolyadin says the regime has one
advantage here: the poor of Moscow, because they represent a smaller percentage
of the city’s population than the poor do elsewhere in Russia, do not feel
their numbers as much.
Consequently,
for the moment, they do not represent “a socio-economic threat” there.
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