Paul Goble
Staunton,
Oct. 26 – Debates about the status of ethnic Russians in the former Soviet
republics often recall a dialogue of the deaf, with Russian attacks on these
countries being read by those in the countries they are about but the responses
of the titular nationalities of these countries largely ignored by Russian
speakers there or in the Russian Federation.
This
problem has become especially serious in Russian-Kazakh relations where Russian
attacks are typically read by the overwhelmingly bilingual Kazakhs but Kazakh
responses are not ready by Russians either in Kazakhstan or in Russia because
Russians do not know Kazakh, Mikhail Rozov says.
The
Russian commentator observes in a discussion of the current debates on
Kazakhstan’s nationality policy that “if in Kazakhstan, claims against Russia
are sounded mostly in Kazakh-language media, then in Russia, claims against
Kazakhstan are made in Russian, which Kazakhs being overwhelmingly bilingual,”
know as well (ritmeurasia.org/news--2021-10-26--kontury-obnovlennoj-nacionalnoj-politiki-kazahstana-57054).
That
leads to a situation in which Russian attacks may have a very different impact
than many Russians, Kazakhs, or outside observers expect and in which Kazakh
responses have much less of a response than any of these groups think, even
though those responses in fact often drive state policy.
According
to Rozov, the Kazakhstan authorities have “embarked on an experiment involving
the Russian community in their country not as a silent minority which is in
‘deep internal emigration’ but as brand ambassadors” for Kazakhstan who can
articulate what Kazakhs are thinking and saying to a Russian audience.
Whether
this tactic will bear fruit remains to be seen, but it already has two
consequences. On the one hand, it is highlighting the fact that far from all
ethnic Russians are happy about Moscow’s criticism of Kazakhstan’s policies,
seeing such criticism as a threat to their own status in the country they want
to live in.
And
on the other, it suggests that the voices of ethnic Russians in Kazakhstan may
be increasingly important in the conflicts between Moscow and Nur Sultan, not
just as many expect as cat’s paws for the Russian side but as part of
Kazakhstan’s defense against any further Russian encroachment.
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