Paul
Goble
Staunton, July 25 – Fearful that the
Muslim-led People against Corruption Party could defeat the party of power in
Daghestani elections, Ramazan Abdulatipov, head of that republic, has used
increasingly harsh administrative measures and threats to force first
individual candidates of that party and then the party as a whole to withdraw
from the elections.
Last week, as a
result of this pressure, several candidates from the party dropped out, but
party leaders pledged to continue even though former officials warned theme
that “there are definite forces and people who want by any means to discredit
the new party” (chernovik.net/content/politika/vsyo-po-planu).
That infuriated many of the party’s
supporters who said tens of thousands of them would go into the streets to
protest; but fearing what that might lead to, party leaders two days later
decided to pull all their candidates out of the election and to send an open
letter to Moscow complaining about what has been going on in that North
Caucasus republic. The statement is at facebook.com/npkdagestan/photos/a.1151709224861059.1073741827.1151606224871359/1230886380276676/?type=3&theater.
Its key points are as follows:
·
“We,
the representatives and candidates of the People against Corruption Party, have
encountered manifestations of administrative pressure which in own opinion are
possible only with the agreement of the head of the Republic of Daghestan.”
·
“These
unjust methods of struggle have reached the level of the use of force” against
its candidates.
·
“Despite
the emotions and the Daghestani temperament … we soberly following
consultations have decided not to use the people in such issues as an
instrument of pressure” in response. Further, the appeal said, it is clear that
Moscow has decided to reappoint Abdulatipov as head of the republic.
·
“Therefore,
we have taken the decision to avoid further conflict and to pull the People
against Corruption Party and our candidates from the elections” to the republic
parliament.
·
“In
the history of Daghestan, never before has the entire power of the state been
directed against a political force.”
Abdulatipov and his government have also
used administrative and force measures against candidates from the Rodina
party, and it has also issued an open statement, although it has not yet
withdrawn from the race, “Chernovik” reports. But that suggests, the paper
continues, that while the names in the parliament may change, the balance of
forces will not.
However, although the paper does not say
this, there will be one major change and it may matter more than the managed
election that Abdulatipov, with Moscow’s backing, is staging. And it is this:
there will be large numbers of Daghestanis who will feel they have been
excluded from the political process.
Some of them may go into the streets to
protest, but others may go into the forests to fight. To the extent they do either, the tactical
victory of Abdulatipov and the Kremlin may turn out into a major strategic
defeat, one that will challenge the ability of both to maintain even the
semblance of control over the eastern portion of the North Caucasus.
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