Paul Goble
Staunton,
January 15 – The changing nature of the country centered on Moscow is well
reflected in the words its leaders have been able to spread to other major
languages: Khrushchev used the Soviet Union’s success in space to boost “sputnik,”
Gorbachev the USSR’s need to change with “perestroika” and now Putin its KGB
essence with “kompromat.”
The last
word, Moscow commentator Igor Yakovenko, quite possibly is “the briefest and most
precise characterization of Putin’s Russia,” a reflection of his “Chekist heart”
but an approach to others that is unlikely to work out as he hopes. “People are
inclined to deceive themselves; language, however, can’t be” (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=587A7455C9BB2).
Yakovenko
offers this an essay in which he says that “the world has again become united.
American, European and Russian media have today a single agenda. The
assessments vary but the subject is in common: Trumpgate, which unlike
Watergate, has a global character” because “its essence is foreign aggression
directed at the strongest country on the planet.”
“Trumpgate,”
he argues, “is Watergate and Pearl Harbor rolled into one.” It consists of
several parts which have “varying degrees of confirmation and can have varied
consequences.” The most serious is that “Trump
is on the hook” of the Russian leader, not because of the compromising stories
about prostitutes but because of Russian money going into his hands.
Indeed,
the prostitution stories are unlikely in the end to harm Trump’s reputation
with his supporters. But “if the information is confirmed that Putin and Sechin
handed him 19.5 percent of Rosneft’s shares in exchange for a promise to lift
sanctions, that will lead not only to impeachment but to a long jail sentence.”
A second
aspect of Trumpgate, Yakovenko says, is something Trump himself has confirmed:
Russia did intervene in the US presidential elections and seek to change their
outcome in his favor. This is “a delayed action mine” and means that Trump “in
fact” is now “’a lame duck’” even though he has not yet taken the oath of
office.
That is
because, the Moscow writer says, Trump “in the best case is condemned to show
during his entire administration that [Russian involvement in his election] isn’t
influencing his policies.
The third
element of Trumpgate, he continues, is Trump’s “declaration of war on the
media,” a war he cannot possibly win. The anger of many Americans at the influential
mainstream media may have helped him win office, but it did not become less
influential as a result.
Thanks to
the First Amendment, “Trump will not be able to do anything” about that,
Yakovenko says. The corporate strength
of journalism in the US, “in contrast to Russia,” will win out, and “there is
no doubt that any information about compromat on Trump [or] any move that confirms
his dependence on the Kremlin will be given maximum coverage.”
In sum,
Yakovenko says, Trump has “guaranteed” himself media attention throughout his
term, but it won’t be the kind he is going to like.
And the fourth
element of Trumpgate, he continues, involves the fact that the hypocrisy Trump
charged the American elite with and won support for doing so is now going to
play against him if he insists that he is beyond criticism as he appears to have
been doing in the case of his instantaneous condemnation of Meryl Streep for
her criticism of him.
For these
reasons and more, “Trumpgate quite possibly has become the most serious
challenge for American democracy over its entire history.” But “there are no
particular doubts” that the US will cope with this challenge, although there
are quite a number about whether the Kremlin will be able to cope with what it
has helped put in play.
Moscow is
about to be disappointed in Trump and that is going to cause trouble in Russia.
“For Putin’s Russia, Trump is hero number one alongside Putin. All TV programs are now devoted to the
defense of Trump” and bookstores are full of volumes beating his portrait,” to
the point that these books are driving out works on Stalin and Putin.
What is
the Kremlin going to do with all this trash “when Trump doesn’t justify [its]
expectations?” That is something the remarks of some of his cabinet appointees
suggest is going to come far sooner and more radically than anyone in Putin’s
ruling circle could imagine, a boomerang effect of their use of compromat as an
instrument of state policy.
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