Paul
Goble
Staunton, January 14 – Most
analysts, including the author, assumed that Moscow’s latest effort to create a
nationalities ministry in the form of the Federal Agency for Nationality Policy
would fail either because the Kremlin would not give it enough power to be
effective or because any grant of such power would cause other ministries and
agencies to gain up against it.
But that conclusion was wrong
because once again Vladimir Putin has used a bureaucratic innovation not in
order to advance its stated goals but rather as a means of handing out enormous
sums of budgetary money to his friends and accomplices and as another instrument
in his continuing battle against any dissent.
Two article this week underscore
that unfortunate reality. On the
Kavkazskaya politika portal today, Anton Chablin details the enormous sums the
Federal Agency for Nationality Policy has been allocated at a time of budgetary
stringency and where much of this money is ending up (kavpolit.com/articles/fadn_razdaet_milliardy-31045/).
Over the next eight years, the
Russian government has announced that it plans to devote 40 billion rubles (580
million US dollars) to its nationality program, much but far from all of that
to be divvied up by the Federal Agency for Nationality Affairs both to other
government agencies, to NGOs, and to private companies.
Nearly a fifth of this total will go
to Russian-occupied Crimea to help those who were deported earlier. Just over a
quarter is slated to go to NGOs to help the state realize its nationality
policy goals. And, in Chablin’s words, “millions … for teachers of Russian,”
with a significantly lower amount for instruction in other langauges.
About three percent of the total is
to go to support the Russian Cosacks, about the same amount for the adaptation
of migrants, and some 2.7 billion rubles (45 million US dollars) to assist the
numerically small peoples of the North.
But what is indicative of what is
really going on is this, Chablin notes: One firm, clearly well-connected with
the Kremlin, received a contract from the Federal Agency that included a pure
profit of more than 25 percent of the total grant, a figure that probably
understates just how much money this program is corruptly putting into the
hands of Putin’s cronies.
The second article by Ramazan Alpaut,
which appeared on Radio Liberty’s IdelReal portal, argues that the Federal
Agency for Nationality Affairs is being used by the Kremlin in the first
instance to fight what it calls “extremism” but what other describe in many
cases as legitimate dissent (idelreal.org/a/borba-s-ekstremizmom-po-russki/28227749.html).
“As is well-known,”
Alpaut writes, “in the conditions of present-day Russia an extremely broad
spectrum of things can fall under the term extremism. Akhmed Gisayev, president
of the Human Rights Analysis Center in Oslov, suggests that Moscow’s
nationality agency will play a role in suppressing many of these things under
the guise of fighting extremism.
Others,
like Yekaterina Sokiryanskaya of the International Crisis Group are less
certain that things will work out that way given that there are other
institutions who have “broad authority” and who are charged with fighting extremism.
They won’t be happy to see any of their powers pass to the Federal Agency even
if as now that body is headed by former siloviki.
In her
opinion, the Federal Agency will direct much of its efforts to creating a civic
Russian nation, something that she says may prove possible because of the success
the Moscow media have had in structuring public opinion on other issues.
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