Paul Goble
Staunton,
November 30 – As of next year, foreign military vessels will be allowed to
traverse the Northern Sea Route only after Moscow gives them approval in
advance, the head of Russia’s National Center for Defense Administration, says,
yet another case of Moscow’s efforts to project its control into the Arctic far
beyond its coastal waters or economic exclusion zones.
Mikhail
Mizintsev says that this notification requirement, which will go into effect at
the start of next year’s navigation season, has been developed by an
inter-agency working group committed to “liquidating a legal vacuum” concerning
the use of the route by foreign navies (ria.ru/defense_safety/20181130/1534604633.html).
At one level, what Moscow is
proposing is both reasonable and proper. Notification is likely necessary to
ensure that there aren’t too many vessels in one part of the route at any one
time and to comply with passage through Russia’s territorial waters or economic
exclusion zones.
But at another, especially in the wake
of Moscow’s efforts to transform the Sea of Azov from an international waterway
to a Russian body of water and because rapidly warming conditions in the Arctic
mean that foreign ships may be able to transit that ocean without passing
through internationally recognized Russian territorial waters, it is an
expansive claim.
As such, it is at least potentially
a violation of the Law of the Sea that should spark protests by the West on
that basis alone. Unfortunately, the United States is not in a position to
lodge that kind of protest because it has never ratified the Law of the Sea
agreement. But that does not mean that
it should not be protested and even challenged by Washington.
If nothing is said in advance of
January 1, 2019, it is very likely that Moscow will treat its latest move as having
created what diplomats like to call “facts on the ground” and use it as yet
another stepping stone toward the transformation of the Arctic into an
overwhelmingly Russian body of water.
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