Wednesday, July 1, 2020

Russia’s Tough Anti-Pandemic Measures Saved at Least 80,000 Lives, Higher School of Economics Study Says


Paul Goble

            Staunton, June 29 – Had the Russian government not shut down most economic activity and ordered the self-isolation of millions of Russians and had not the people largely complied, the country would have suffered “no fewer than 80,000” additional deaths from the coronavirus pandemic, the Higher School of Economics says (hse.ru/news/expertise/376047710.html).

            Indeed, that has been a worldwide pattern: where governments have taken tough measures and where their populations have obeyed, losses have been far lower than where regimes have focused on the economy rather than on public health and where the population has assumed it can do what it likes.

            Nonetheless, Russians too have suffered, as today’s new overall figures show: 6719 more cases were registered, bringing the cumulative total to 641,156; and 93 more Russians died, bringing that total to 6719 (t.me/COVID2019_official/912). But those overall figures fail to capture where the pandemic has nonetheless hit especially hard.

            Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov says that 40 Russian diplomats have been infected and that one of them has died (russian.rt.com/russia/video/759382-lavrov-mid-epidemiya-krasovskii). Medical personnel and those who operate homes for the elderly have also been disproportionately hit (kemprok.ru/52979.htm and zona.media/chronicle/krnjn#32252).

           And perhaps especially worrisome for Moscow, a large number of Rosatom workers have been forced to go into quarantine because of the spread of infections in that sector, something that has delayed construction projects there (proekt.media/narrative/koronavirus-rosatom/).

            Vladimir Putin who has been speaking to Russians almost daily after a long gap did his best to counter rumors that someone was behind the virus. He said that he did not believe it had been artificially created or weaponized by anyone (capost.media/news/obshchestvo/putin-does-not-believe-that-the-coronavirus-you-got-thrown/).

           The mixed pattern of openings and closings continued. Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Chernyshenko said movie theaters across the country would be reopened as of July 15 (ria.ru/20200629/1573617654.html). But Kalmykia extended its shutdown of such public facilities because of high rates of infection (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/351333/).
  
          But in some places, like Chechnya, the population questioned the lifting of restrictions by the authorities, telling journalists that the epidemiological situation they still observe around them does not justify taking that step and that the reopening is being handled in a poorly coordinated way (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/351334/).

            A new survey of Russian businessmen found that most of them fear that Russia is headed into a prolonged “depression” (krizis-kopilka.ru/archives/77724), and Just Russia Duma deputy Valery Gartung denounced the banks for what he said was their commitment to greed over public service (krizis-kopilka.ru/archives/77734).

            And officials and human rights groups continued to clash over whether control devices put in place during the pandemic and likely to remain so constitute a violation of Russian rights, with the Moscow Information Technologies Department saying street cameras are no more intrusive than police (zona.media/chronicle/karantin).

            Meanwhile, in other pandemic-related news from Russia today,

·         An expert at the Institute for CIS Countries says the outmigration of workers from Central Asia and the Caucasus has been far less than many have expected and some are reporting (materik.ru/rubric/detail.php?ID=105444).

·         Russians have been using flights via Minsk and Belgrade to reach European destinations during the shutdown of direct flights (znak.com/2020-06-29/kak_oboyti_zapret_na_turpoezdki_iz_rossii_i_otdohnut_na_pustynnyh_plyazhah_turcii).

·         And psychologists are warning that many Russians will have a hard time returning to the office after so many weeks at home and advising those that do not to be afraid to seek help (rosbalt.ru/piter/2020/06/29/1851009.html).

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