Monday, May 16, 2022

All Russian Regions Less Stable Now than a Month Ago – and Putin’s War in Ukraine Far From Only Cause, Petersburg Politics Foundation Says

Paul Goble

            Staunton, May 4 – All federal subjects of the Russian Federation saw their political and managerial stability decline in April, the Petersburg Politics Foundation says in its monthly rating. But far from all these declines are related to the war in Ukraine. Instead, many have completely domestic causes.

            The foundation pointed to the situations in Belgorod, Bryansk, Kursk and Voronezh where problems with the incumbent regimes have left these predominantly ethnic Russian regions more unstable than they were. And it said similar problems may soon spread to Ryazan and Voronezh as well (

            In April, “the most stable region” was Tula Oblast, the St. Petersburg-based rating agency says. The reasons for that are clear: proximity to Moscow, the dominance of military industry as yet relatively unaffected by sanctions, and the governor’s special relationship with the Kremlin. In reality, the foundation says, “the Tula region now is under direct federal control.”

            Whether its stability will lead the Kremlin to decide to place more of the country under more complete federal control remains to be seen; but if the situation in other regions deteriorates further, that is an increasingly likely possibility.


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