Paul Goble
Staunton, June 23 – Rosstat, the Russian state statistics agency, for the first time has published data on mortality in 2022 (fedstat.ru/indicator/31620).. While the agency doesn’t break out deaths from the fighting in Ukraine, an analysis of its figures allows the To Be Exact news portal to say that the number of Russian combat losses last year was in fact approximately 7,000.
According to Rosstat, deaths from accidents and other non-medical events rose by five percent among Russians between 2021 and 2022 while the rate of deaths from these causes among men under the age of 30 rose by 33 percent (tochno.st/materials/rosstat-vpervye-opublikoval-otsenki-smertnosti-za-2022-god-chislo-pogibshikh-ot-vneshnikh-prichin-vyroslo-na-7-tysyach-chelovek).
Military losses, To Be Exact says, is the only subgroup within the “external causes” category that can explain the increase in deaths among men under 30 between 2021 and 2022; and thus combat deaths in Ukraine amounted to some 7,000 for the year, a figure that corresponds to defense ministry figures for parts of the year.
Specifically, the new Rosstat figures show that mortality among men aged 20 to 29 in comparison with the pre-covid year of 2019 rose from 1.8 to 2.4 cases per 1,000. In the two decades preceding 2019, that figure had been falling. In 2000, it was 5.4 cases; and in 2010 3.5 per 1,000 members of this cohort.
Figures from various federal subjects reinforce the conclusion that the rise in deaths grouped under “external causes” reflected combat losses. In Chechnya, for example, deaths in this group rose by 96 percent between 2021 and 2022, in Rostov Oblast by 53 percent, in Daghestan by 40 percent; in North Ossetia by 39 percent and in Buryatia by 36 percent.
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