Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 27 – The Tatar
national movement, which had been dominated by people born before 1960, is
increasingly being taken over by those born after 1985 rather than by anyone
aged in between, a reflection of official pressure against that group and also
the need of the intermediate age group to make careers, according to a Tatar
website.
And that jump in generations is
leading to a radicalization of the movement because the younger people have
little or no experience with the Soviet system and are focused on the future of
their nation and its territory rather than on the more personal and immediate
task of making a career (tatar-bozqurd.livejournal.com/16117.html).
The
missing middle-aged parental generation were the most likely to be “mankurtized,”
a term popularized by Kyrgyz novelist Chingiz Aitmatov, who used it to describe
the process by which people were deprived of their memories, personal and
national, to make them more willing to live according to the diktat of outside
forces.
There
are differences within the younger groups, the site says. The generation in the
first half of the 1980s was “neutral” in that respect; the one that came just
after it represents the largest change and is “the most responsible,” it has
grown up the fastest, and it has attracted those who younger still.
That
last sub-generation now leads the Tatar national movement. It decries any
compromise or cowardice in dealing with the authorities. “Among them are not a
few philosophers, sportsmen and historians.” And it is likely to become ever
more authoritative as it becomes middle aged.
The
site offers no sociological data for these conclusions; they are simply
impressionistic. But they do conform to the Youtube pictures of demonstrations
in Tatarstan and other Tatar centers in recent years. Consequently, they are
almost certainly correct, and the picture they paint is certain to be a matter
of concern for Moscow.
That
is because revolutionary change in the former Soviet space has frequently come
as a result of a partnership between the oldest who can remember either from
their own experience or that of their parents a pre-Soviet environment or the
youngest who have been least affected by the political and social mores of that
system.
In
the Baltic states, for example, the recovery of independence was led precisely
by those who could remember their countries before the Soviet occupation and
those who were too young to have been socialized by it. As a result, Estonia at
one point had one of the oldest presidents and youngest prime ministers in
Europe.
It
would be interesting to find additional confirming data on whether a
generational “jump” has taken place in Tatarstan -- and whether it is happening
in other national movements across the Russian Federation. If it has, those movements are likely to grow
in strength almost regardless of what Moscow does.
No comments:
Post a Comment