Paul Goble
Staunton,
June 6 – To prevent the loss of the North Caucasus and the further
disintegration of the Russian Federation, Russians have “only one bloodless way
out: to become stronger by reclaiming for themselves” the role of “’the elder
brother’” who can not only “feed ‘the younger brothers’” but when necessary
demand their ”surrender.”
In
the current issue of the influential “Voyenno-Promyshlenny kur’yer,” Roman
Ilyushchenko reaches this conclusion on the basis of an analysis of why the
idea of getting rid of the North Caucasus has gained so much support among
ethnic Russians and of why that would be a disaster for the country (vpk-news.ru/articles/16087).
But
in making that argument, the military commentator fails to point out that it
was precisely that Soviet-era attitude that helped shape the non-Russian
national movements and hasten the end of the USSR and that, if it is restored,
could have the same effect among the non-Russian communities in the Russian
Federation now.
Significantly
titled “The Phenomenon of [Ethnic] Russian Separatism,” Ilyushchenko’s article
focuses on the increasingly frequent calls by Russian activists to “stop
feeding the Caucasus,” an idea that it suggests is not only absurd but extremely
dangerous because 84 percent of all the federal subjects get more money from
Moscow than they send in.
“If
one follows the logic of such ‘applied patriotism,’” Ilyushchenko continues, then
why not get rid of Tuva or Kamchatka as well? Why should Russians continue to
fund these distant places. But no one is
talking about that, he points out, however rigorously logical that might follow
a decision to allow the North Caucasus to go its own way.
Unfortunately,
the military commentator continues, there have been cases when Russia has given
up its territories, such as what Ilyushchenko sees as the unfortunate sale of
Alaska to the United States. But he notes “the initators of such destructive
processes were either the authorities themselves or the population of the national
borderland, but not the Russian people.”
At
least until now. Has something
fundamentally changed? Today, “the
authorities are constantly declaring about the unity and indivisibility of
Russia [given that] separatist attitudes on eh borderlands of the country have
been in practice suppressed,” but “the state-forming Russian people itself is
demanding the separation of the Caucasus from Russia.”
Clearly,
Russians are not prepared to give up lands elsewhere as witness their reaction
to any suggestion that the Kuriles be given to Japan, Kaliningrad to Germany,
or border territories to Finland or the Baltic countries. “No one intends to
give up [these places and] this is completely natural and normal.”
According
to Ilyushchenko, it also reflects an understanding that any such transfers
could undermine the state: “We remember how the transfer of Souther Sakhalin
and the Kuriles to Japan by the Portsmouth Treaty of 1905 seriously undermined
the trust of the people in the tsarist government.”
“Alas,”
the military commentator says, today, “the supporters of a radical resolution
of the question, the separation of the Caucasus from Russia, according to the
assessments of various sources, are several times more numerous than those
speaking out on behalf of [Russia’s] unity and indivisibility.”
And
it is also striking, Ilyushchenko says, that these advocates include people
across the entire political spectrum from liberals like Emil Pain to
conservatives like Yegor Kholmogorov. Despite their disagreements about almost
everything else, they agree on this – and also with the leaders of anti-Russian
bandformations in the North Caucasus.
The
“key” to understanding what is going on, the military commentator suggests, is
that it reflects the false view of some Russians that if they just take one or
another step, including giving up territory, then everthing will work out from
then on. That explains why Russians
reacted as they did to 1991, and it explains why some want to give up the North
Caucasus now.
But
there is no guarantee that things will work out the way these people hope, and “no
one intends to give such a guarantee” or ensure there won’t be new border and
migration problems. Instead, Ilyushchenko says, those who play on such hopes
are only seeking ways to generate dissatisfaction among the population and
stimulate protest attitudes.
According
to Ilyushchenko, it is the Russian mass media which is serving as a megaphone
for such mistaken views by promoting hatred of the people of the Caucasus and
thus as an unwitting ally of those in that region and in Western capitals who
want to further weaken Russia.
“It
is necessary to recognize,” he says, “that the centrifugal processes in
post-Soviet society, even as they have acquired new forms, have not been
overcome and the lessons of history have not been learned.” If Russia is to
avoid new disasters, Ilyushchenko says, it must assimilate those lessons both
fully and quickly.
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