Paul
Goble
Staunton, November 16 – There is a
military solution to ISIS and it will undoubtedly be successfully applied in
the coming weeks, but there is not a military solution to terrorism Islamist
and otherwise, according to Nikolay Khramov. Those who think otherwise are
deluding themselves consciously or unconsciously.
In “Yezhednevny zhurnal” today, the
Russian commentator says that the world will not prevent future outbursts of
Islamist violence by expelling all immigrants, building a new Great Wall, or
responding with force every time there is a new act of violence, although
responding that way is necessary (ej.ru/?a=note&id=28947).
And that means, among other things,
Khramov says, that “a different solution is inevitable” at some point, one that
will not rely on force alone but rather focus on and seek to address the far
broader underlying problems that if unresolved will simply lead to the
emergence of new terrorist groups and new terrorist attacks.
After the Paris attacks as after
those of September 11, politicians felt compelled “yet again to begin to speak
in a chorus about how the latest Islamist terrorists have declared war on the
free world.” To which Khromov responds, “Thank you, Captain Obviousness,”
although those who say it do not understand fully what they are saying.
“Does the problem of ISIS have a
military solution? Of course. More than that, it has only a military one.” If
the Western powers intervene massively, they will need “no more than two or
three weeks to destroy ISIS and cleanse the territory of Syria.”
“However, does the problem of
Islamist terrorism have a military solution?” In that case, Khromov continues,
the answer is “no.” And he proceeds to explain why that is so, focusing on why
Islamist terrorism has emerged and how difficult, expensive, and long-term the
real solution to it is likely to be.
Khromov points out that “ISIS, like
Al-Qaeda and those connected with it, have declared war on the West. A world war.
They are conducting it not because the West supposedly has interfered in their
affairs in Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan or somewhere else. They are carrying it out
for the destruction of the Free World and they openly declare that this is
their goal.”
Moreover, they are conducting it “because
permanent war with an external enemy is the means of their survival, the only
way for them to maintain their control over poor, uneducated, fanatic and
stupefied populations in the territories under their power.”
“This really is a world war, and it is a war to destruction,”
a reality Western public opinion is only beginning to accept. But there is
something else it must recognize: “as in the past world war,” there won’t be a
victory by pushing someone out of France of even taking Berlin. Much more was
and will be required.
The
victorious Western powers had to do far more in Germany and Japan after the
guns went silent to ensure that the dangers that had come from them would not
come again: “years of occupation … denazification, the Marshal Plan, and other
measures directed toward one single goal,” the inclusion of these countries in
the Free World.
The
current wave of Islamist violence has its roots in the collapse of the European
colonial systems in the 1950s and 1960s, Khromov argues. In their wake, there
was economic collapse and mass murder: three million dead in Cambodia, three
million more in Nigeria, 1.5 million in the Iran-Iraq war, and a million in the
Ruanda genocide.
In
almost all former colonies, there was “a complete absence of freedom and
democracy, the collapse of the economy, the enrichment of the rulers, and the
impoverishment of the population,” he continues, and that led to an opposition
that promised all good things if only people would rise against not only their
own rulers but against those behind them.
That
is how the Muslim Brotherhood, the Taliban, Al-Qaeda and ISIS arose, Khromov
says, “it is precisely the genesis of all past, present, and future Islamist
fundamentalists.” And now, because the
horrors related to it are not occurring far from Western countries but in their
major cities, the West is having to pay attention.
And
it is having to “forget terms like ‘national sovereignty,’ ‘non-interference,’
and ‘internal affairs,’” terms that dictators have used to justify their
exploitation of their populations and thus bred extremism.
“For
the sake of its own security, Europe will have to seriously and for a long tiem
return to those countries from which it so giddily and traitorously left. For
the sake of its own security, America will have not only to come to terms with
its undesired role as ‘the universal policeman,’ but also take on itself new
roles: universal teacher and builder and repeat the program of post-war
restoration of Europe and Japan in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria and later
everywhere.”
Khromov
argues that “the Free World will have to give up the illusion that it can limit
its efforts to providing arms to its allies or even by using no-fly zones over
territories of ‘failed states’ overrun by civil war. What will be required is
full-blown military interference and occupation.”
And
this will be “not for years but for decades,” he argues; it will be expensive
but not doing this will be even more so. Only when the countries that have
given rise to terrorist groups because of their history have been transformed
by this program can they get back the sovereignty that they will have partially
lost in the course of such a program.
Moreover,
the West needs to recognize that in the course of this effort, some of these
countries will disintegrate and new ones will emerge. Tehre may be in place of
today’s Iraq “two or three states” and not only there. And that is just one of
the costs of “the third world war which has begun against the Free World.”
“The
globalization of democracy, capitalism and consumer society, the formation in
place of these wounded states of fully democratic ones, and their inclusion in
the Free World is the only outcome which can be considered a victory in this
war,” the Moscow commentator insists.
“Such
a victory, in contrast to the predicted easy military victory over ISIS in
Syria will require colossal efforts, means, and patience. But only it will
guarantee forever peace, freedom and security to all residents of the planet,”
Khromov says.
And
he concludes: “The more rapid public opinion and the political class of the
West recognizes this and takes responsibility, the greater number of lives that
will be saved. What new Pearl Harbor will be needed for them to recognize that
reality?”
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