Paul
Goble
Staunton, January 3 – Georgy Satarov
suggested that Russia has not yet entered the 21st century and won’t
do so in 2016. (See windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2015/12/20th-century-hasnt-ended-yet-for-russia.html).
Now, Igor Yakovenko argues that “the 21st century will never come
for Russia” (igoryakovenko.blogspot.ru/2016/01/2015-vs.html#more).
Satarov’s argument, the Russian
blogger and former head of the Union of Russian Journalists says, is based on the
concept of “delayed development,” the notion that “all countries are running a
marathon in one direction but at different speeds and will pass similar
markers: the 19th century, then the 20th, and now the 21st.”
But, Yakovenko asks, “in what
century is North Korea at the present time?” And ISIS? And Somalia and
Afghanistan? “Are they also waiting for a 21st century brand of
Santa Claus?” Clearly not, and “one of the important results of 2015” is that
Vladimir Putin has imposed a course on Russia that more closely resembles
theirs than the rest of the world.
In the past year, he writes, “Putin
designated the circle of those countries and regimes socially close to Russia:
Asad’s regime, Iran, Hezbollah, and North Korea, along with the Islamic State.”
And he points out those are all the allies Russia has: at present, “there aren’t
any more.”
Throughout 2015, “Russian propaganda
attempted to present Putin as the chief opponent of the world hegemony of the
US and a battler for a multi-polar world.” The American “’pole’” is “the
anti-terrorist coalition in which all of Europe, Australia, Canada and a total
of more than 60 countries are a part.”
“Putin’s ‘anti-pole’ is Asad, the
Guardians of the Islamic Revolution and Hezbollah. In economics, the US is
creating a new ‘pole’: the Trans-Pacific Partnereship which includes Australia,
New Zealand, Japan, Singapore, South Korea and others who make up 40 percent of
th world’s GDP. The Putin ‘anti-pole’ involves exporting hay to North Korea.”
The same pattern holds in science as
well, Yakovenko says. That forms a key aspect of the 21st century “into
which Russia will never enter.”
Instead, Russia remained focused on
the events of the past, the millennium of St. Vladimir and the 70th
anniversary of victory in World War II, and on the tools of the past, “the
weapons of death: rockets, bombs and tanks.” This dependence, the blogger says,
reflects Putin’s fear of time and of the historical process, one he hopes to
stop by relying on geography.
“Time is Putin’s personal enemy,”
and that is why he works so hard to high the completely natural signs of aging
and uses Botox. His new year’s address was truly horrific: he was a cardboard
figure with no new ideas. The snowflakes fell past him. On a living human
being, they would have melted, but not on Putin.
“The main political event of the year
– the murder of Boris Nemtsov – reduced to zero the shadowy chances for a
relatively peaceful deconstruction of the Putin regime that the optimists had
put their faith in. This regime will not
go away without blood,” Yakovenko points out.
He continues: “In the fabric of the
contemporary historical process are woven the norms of law and morality which
made the contemporary world united, connected and predictable. [But] the Putin
regime has broken itself out of this fabric” by passing a law saying it won’t
fulfill the decisions of the European Court of Human Rights.
And
“the chief cultural event of the year,” the awarding of the Nobel Prize in
literature to Svetlana Aleksiyevich “symbolized the final break of the Russian
language and Russian culture from all that is connected not only with Russia as
a state but also with present-day Russian society.”
“A
Ukrainian-Belarusian writer” has thus emerged as “the symbol of contemporary
Russian culture,” while “Mikhalkov, Kobzon and Medinsky [remain] as symbols of
the contemporary culture of Putin’s Russia,” Yakovenko argues.
By
its invasion of other countries, Putin’s Russia not only has exited from the
historical process of other countries but became almost completely
unpredictable. And for that reason as well, it will remain backward and never
enter the 21st century, at least as long as Putin and his regime
remain in charge.
Consequently,
Yakovenko concludes, Russia has only one task in the year ahead: to end the
rule of “the bloody ghouls” in the Kremlin who have transformed Russia into “the
main bogeyman on the planet.” The chance
now exists, he says, because the ghouls themselves are doing everything to
hasten their own end.
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