Paul Goble
Staunton, March 8 – Perhaps the only
thing more striking than Donald Trump’s unwillingness to criticize Vladimir
Putin regardless of what the Kremlin leader does is Putin’s continuing to make
a clear distinction between the US president whom he appears to trust and the
United States whom he sees as Russia’s main enemy.
In
recent remarks, Svobodnaya pressa
journalist Aleksey Verkhoyantsev points out, the Kremlin leader has denounced
the US for its role in Ukraine but gone out of his say to stress that he is “not
disappointed” in Donald Trump “with whom,” Putin insists, “it is possible to
reach agreements and find compromises” (http://svpressa.ru/politic/article/194835/).
“I have no disappointment at all in
my partner,” the Russian president continues, “but ever greater disappointment
in the system. Here one cannot but be disappointed because it demonstrates is
obvious ineffectiveness and is eating itself alive” (cf, report in ria.ru/world/20180307/1515920338.html).
Stanislav Byshok, an analyst at the
CIS-EMO Monitoring Organization, tells Verkhoyantsev that “Putin’s words to the
effect that everything isn’t so bad and that Trump isn’t hopeless and that relations with the US
could improve are no more than a nod to traditions” since the end of Soviet
times.
“We understand that meetings of
Russian leaders with their American colleagues have been accompanied by hopes
for ‘the next reset,’ improvements and relations. In this case,” he continues, “Putin
said with a high degree of probability exactly what he would have said if
Hillary Clinton had been elected US president.”
According to the analyst, “it is not
in the interests of Russia to make confrontational declarations personally
against the US president and it would be strange if Putin didn’t understand
that.” But in this case, there are also two other factors that must be taken
into consideration.
“It is obvious,” Byshok says, “that
the promises Trump made about Russia during his campaign were made completely sincerely”
and he has much in common with Putin: “They both maintain the image of a strong
leader, both are inclined to conservatism, and ideologically they are close to
one another.”
But Trump is not in a position to
define US relations with Russia on his own. “The institutions of the presidency
in the US and in Russia are quite different things, and it would be naïve to
expect that as a result of the personal sympathies of Putin and Trump would be
defined the relationship of the two countries.”
Not
only can Trump not afford to be too forthcoming about Russia given media
coverage of the issue of Russian interference in the American elections and the
attacks by Democrats and conservatives on Trump for his proffered friendship with
Putin lest he be weakened, but the American system has “checks and balances”
that prevent anyone from acting unilaterally.
And
consequently, “it would be strange to expect that the American president ‘would
love Russia’ more than the political mainstream does, whose views he is focused
on and on which he depends.” And as
Putin has been pointing out since at least 2007, the American consensus is far
from friendly to Russia.
As
a result, in its dealing with the US, “Russia now acts according to the
principle which is ascribed to Al Capone: ‘with the help of a kind word and a
pistol you can achieve much more than with a kind word alone.”
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