Paul
Goble
Staunton, July 9 – Five days ago, a
group of Sunni Muslims, whom the Azerbaijani authorities describe as Wahhabis,
attacked a group of Shiia Muslims following an iftar dinner at a mosque in
Baku. Yesterday, Russia’s Interfax news agency reported that the authorities
have taken control of the mosque involved and have launched an investigation (interfax-religion.ru/islam/?act=news&div=55856).
The incident itself appears to have
been small and so far at least self-contained, but given the sectarian violence
sweeping much of the Muslim world, the complexities of Azerbaijan’s religious
situation, and the Baku government’s pride in religious tolerance and concerns
about stability, any such event inevitably raises questions about the future.
Traditionally, about two-thirds of
Azerbaijanis are followers of the Shiia trend in Islam, while the rest are
Sunnis. Reflecting that pattern, the Caucasus Muslim Spiritual Directorate in
Baku, which was set up in Soviet times and oversees smaller Shiia communities elsewhere
in the Caucasus, is headed by the sheikh ul Islam, a Shiite. He has a Sunni
deputy.
But that suggests a division among
Azerbaijanis that is both more and less than it is. It implies that most Azerbaijanis know with
precision the differences between the two trends in Islam and identify closely
with one or another. In fact, thanks to Soviet anti-religious policies, many
Azerbaijanis knew until very recently at best only that they were traditionally
one or the other.
Few of them knew the details of the
two trends. But after the collapse of Soviet power and the recovery of
Azerbaijani statehood, missionaries and efforts by Sunni Turkey and Shiia Iran
to promote Islam in Azerbaijan through the construction of mosques gave this
division a new meaning.
Many Azerbaijanis since the 1990s
refer to their mosques as “Turkish” or “Iranian” rather than “Sunni” or “Shiia,”
a reflection of the political nature of this division rather than the religious
one. With time, that has begun to
change, but the change is much slower than a simple listing of the categories
might suggest.
There are two other aspects to this
pattern as well. On the one hand, Turkey and Iran have often used “their”
mosques in Azerbaijan to press their state policies. Given its closeness to
Ankara, Turkish efforts in this regard have seldom been a problem for Baku,
even though most Azerbaijanis are traditionally Shiia.
But when Iran has done so, the
situation is different and far more prickly.
Not only is Iran a political competitor internationally, but there are
more than 30 million ethnic Azerbaijanis in Iran, a group that has often been
oppressed but some of whose members have risen to the highest positions in the
Iranian religious and political elites.
On occasion, Tehran has actively
supported Shiia groups inside Azerbaijan, and it has regularly accused Baku of
tolerance for or even active support of groups seeking the liberation of what
they call “Southern Azerbaijan.” That situation in turn has been exacerbated by
Western commentators who have talked about using ethnic Azerbaijanis against
Tehran.
And on the other hand, while
Azerbaijan is more ethnically homogeneous today than it has ever been, at least
regarding the population now under Baku’s control rather than Armenian
occupation, there are ethnic minorities in both the northern and southern portions
of the country that Iran and others have exploited in the past.
In most cases, these external actors
have played on religious as well as ethnic differences to advance their cause,
and consequently, Baku not surprisingly has viewed their actions as being even
more threatening and likely to spread to the rest of the country than would
otherwise have been the case.
Post-Soviet Azerbaijan has long
presented itself as a model of religious tolerance, and anything that calls
that into question is a matter of serious concern in Baku, especially since
using repressive measures to contain a religious conflict is unlikely to be as
effective as using the same measures to dominate civil society.
As events elsewhere have shown,
using force against protests based in religion is often like fighting a grease
fire with water: dousing the outbreak can have the effect not of extinguishing
the flames but of spreading them.
Whether that pattern will be true in this case remains to be seen.
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