Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 17 – Vladimir Putin’s
statements about Ukraine in his “direct line” program yesterday look “moderate”
but only in comparison with the militaristic declarations of the Russian
defense minister and chief of the Russian general staff. But no one should be
deceived into thinking he has changed his mind or assumptions, according to
Vitaly Portnikov.
Clearly, the Ukrainian commentator
says, Putin is “at the stage of taking decisions about the Donbas” but the
Kremlin leader “still doesn’t know how to achieve his goals without war” and in
fact believes that “war is the best means of realizing his political ambitions”
(liga.net/opinion/231254_imperskiy-nadoy-izmenilis-li-tseli-putina-v-ukraine.htm).
Putin’s “moderation” in words which
so many analysts and politicians are rushing to present as a change in course
in fact “changed nothing,” Portnikov says. In fact, he repeated “his version of
the development of the situation in Ukraine” and flagrantly lied when he again
said there are no Russian troops in that country.
But there is one thing Putin said
which deserves attention because the real meaning of his words is so often
misconstrued. “When [he] says that his
country has no imperial ambitions, he is not being disingenuous. It is simply
that [his] understanding of empire is different from what we are accustomed to –
and from that state that was the Russian Empire and the Soviet Union.”
“Putin
is not an imperialist,” Portnikov says; “he is a Nazi. And his notion about the
state is in no way different from that of his predecessors – Adolf Hitler who
dreamed about ‘lebensraum’ for Germans or Slobodan Milosevic who promised his
fellow citizens that ‘all Serbvs will live in one state.’”
That
approach allows the Kremlin leader to deny that he has any imperial ambitions
toward Ukraine and the former Soviet republics even as he insists that Russia
must be “interested in the life and status of those [in those countries] who
consider Russian culture their own and identify with Russia.”
That
is what he said yesterday, and he said something else as well that provides a
clue to Putin’s worldview: he declared that he “considers Russians and
Ukrainians one people. This is Nazism in
the purest form: Hitler also considered Austria an independent state. But he constantly
reminded its leadership that Germans lived in that state and that they must not
be oppressed.”
Of
course, Portnikov continues, as history shows, Hitler “at the very first
possibility swallowed Austria.” “Putin would have swallowed Ukraine if it hadn’t
been for the Maidan.” Had he succeeded in swallowing Ukraine, he would have
insisted as Hitler did that this wasn't an act of restoring an empire but simply
of uniting one people.
“No one must have any doubts about Putin’s political
goals,” the commentator says. The issue is “only how he now is prepared to
pursue them.” His “moderate” words
suggest only that he is now thinking about what to do next, but they do not
suggest any change in the goals he has long had in place.
“As before, he
wants to force Ukraine to finance the Donbas; as before, he counts on the incorporation
of the ‘DNR’ and ‘LNR’ in Ukraine as territories which will constrain” Ukraine’s
development. “And as before, he does not know how to get out of this situation
without a war” if Ukraine doesn’t agree to those conditions and “convert itself
into a Russian protectorate.”
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