Paul
Goble
Staunton, October 15 – “The single
real consequences of the Putin regime” is the promotion in the population not
so much of overwhelming support for an imperial ideology but rather for the
kind of baseness and cynicism that allows them to “change their values,
politics and even facts” overnight as the Kremlin line changes.
“To correct this part of the
[Russian] mentality,” one the reflects an increasingly short-term memory and
the willingness to go along with anything the supreme leader calls for, however
different it may be from today from what it was yesterday, will be a far more
difficult task than rooting out any particular ideology (svoboda.org/a/28786531.html).
Many were surprised by how quickly
Russians changed their view of Ukraine from a “fraternal people” to “a hostile
state” in the space of a few days, she writes. But “there was nothing
surprising in this” for anyone who remembered the numerous cases when the
Kremlin changed course on Lukashenka and other issues.
“The memory of the majority of
consumers of television propaganda is surprisingly short,” Kirillova says.
Still worse, it is one in which the recipients of that propaganda are quite
happy to keep in their heads completely contradictory ideas and facts, thus
opening the way for them to change their position when that is required.
Indeed, today, the US-based Russian
analyst argues, one can say that “’the Putin majority’ overwhelmingly consists
of conformists but not of convinced imperialists” and that “these conformists
as the last decade has shown can easily change one reality for another” on
demand.
Some may view this as something
positive, as opening the possibility for a radical break with the
authoritarianism and imperialism that have characterized Putin’s last term.
Indeed, such a break may be possible – and could even be led by him. But the habits
of the mass population he has inculcated will be far harder to change.
And consequently, any positive
shift, one that many in both Russia and the West will be quite ready to grasp
onto as an indication of a fundamental change in direction, is unlikely to last
because it will have not deeper roots than whatever Russian television has planted
in the last news cycle.
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