Paul
Goble
Staunton, October 11 – Pavel Chikov,
head of the Kazan-based Agora Human Rights Organization, says that after
Vladimir Putin is re-elected, the Kremlin leader will neutralize the political
and regional elites, pull out of the Council of Europe, restore the death
penalty, and impose tight restrictions on anyone seeking to go abroad and the
confiscation of their property.
In short, he argues, Putin will
restore the Iron Curtain. That will also involve, he says, a ban on foreign
media, withdrawal from the European Court of Human Rights, and denunciation of
numerous international treaties. In fact, he suggests, relations with some
European countries may be so bad that missions will be closed (business-gazeta.ru/news/360237).
With respect to Russia’s regions and
republics, Chikov continues, Putin will oversee the seizure of control over all
major enterprises and the “final neutralization of their political and national
sovereignty.” He has already made a move
in that direction in Daghestan and can be expected now to move against the
leadership of Tatarstan.
Putin, in the Agora head’s view,
will also move to “cleanse” the religious space of the country via “mass
criminal trials” and the expulsion from the country “of all backers of
non-traditional religions, be they the Tabligs, Nursis, and Hizbis of Islam,
the Jehovah’s Witnesses of Christianity, or the Krishnaites, AUM, and yoga of
Buddhism, as well as the Scientologists.”
Already next
summer, Chikov says, Moscow will adopt “a package of new repressive laws and
initiatives” and will impose a real, not symbolic jail sentence on Aleksey
Navalny and other opposition figures.
Entrepreneurs independent of the Kremlin will face more harassment and
trumped up criminal charges.
And Putin’s new term, the Agora
activist continues, will also see the imposition of a Russian firewall on the
Internet, the filtration of all content from abroad, and “the isolation of the
Internet space of Russia.”
The human rights activist’s
prognosis is far bleaker than those offered by many others, but it is not
inconsistent with the direction Putin has been moving in over the course of the
last several years. All of the things he
projects may not happen, but they are certainly on what might be called “Putin’s
wish list.”
As such, the Kremlin leader should
be tracked especially closely now because what he will in fact do in 2018 is
already being prepared by his Presidential Administration. Only vigilance and a
willingness to stand up to and openly oppose him gives any hope for a freer and
not more oppressive Russian future.
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