Paul
Goble
Staunton, May 18 – The Russia’s
ministry for economic development has proposed that state corporations move
their headquarters out of Moscow to regional centers, a shift that won’t matter
at all in the short term given that in Putin’s Russia politics determines economics
and all political decisions are made in the center.
But over the longer term, it could
matter a great deal – and not in the way its authors hope. Instead of boosting
the Russian economy as a whole, it could lead corporate leaders to shift their loyalties
from Moscow to regional elites, strengthening the latter and leading to even more
demands that taxes remain in the regions rather than nearly all of them going
to Moscow.
Such an outcome is neither imminent
or inevitable. For a long time even after their offices might be moved,
corporate leaders will still have their heads in Moscow just as many political
outsiders the center has dispatched to the regions do. But unlike regional
heads the Kremlin can shift at will, corporate headquarters are likely to
remain in place far longer.
And they will form alliances with
local elites in which both will come to view the center not as their ally but
as their opponent or even enemy. Because
that is the case and because cooler heads in Moscow are certainly likely to see
this, the ministry’s proposal is unlikely to be implemented except perhaps in
some Potemkin village-like way designed to confound outsiders.
Indeed, the first reactions to this
proposal suggest as much.
Writing in Izvestiya, commentator Dmitry Migunov notes that “practice shows
that even the largest corporations can completely successfully exist and
develop beyond the city limits of the capital and major metropolitan areas.
Most often this happens in countries where the capital is not so dominant over
the rest of the country” (iz.ru/878392/migunov-dmitrii/na-otshibe-kak-krupneishie-korporatcii-razvivaiut-ekonomiku-v-provintcii).
“But even
in other countries, the location of leading businesses in places far from major
cities favorably influences the balanced development of the country and promotes
the maximum use of its potential.” Migunov is right about that, but
unfortunately his government continues to believe in hyper-centralization in
all things even if it imposes great costs.
As the Region.Expert portal notes, this
proposal does not mean that “a regional revolution” has taken place in Russia.
It only follows Vladimir Putin’s declaration that locating “centers of profit
in the regions is absolutely correct,” a remark that the economic development ministry
is struggling to give content to (region.expert/taxes/).
But just how fraudulent this
proposal is, the portal continues, is shown by the fact that Moscow wants to
decide which regions will develop and which will not rather than allowing
decentralization of economic activity to proceed naturally – and it clearly has
no intention of changing its control of the companies or of the flow of tax monies
collected.
Unfortunately, it adds, “Moscow bureaucrats
simply cannot think in any other way. They are accustomed to make decisions
about everything for everyone.” And that is something that Russian specialists
on regional affairs, however much they may say decentralization is a good
thing, nonetheless continue to view as “normal or inevitable.”
Dmitryy Zhuravlyev, the head of the
Moscow Institute for Regional Problems, acknowledges that “you can shift things
as much as you want, but all key things will remain in Moscow, because here is
the industry ministry, the finance ministry, the economic development ministry
and all the other agencies without which major companies can’t function” (club-rf.ru/detail/3180).
And
Aleksander Dergyugin, head of the Institute of Applied Economic Research at
Moscow’s Russian Academy of Economics and State Service, concurs: “we have a highly
centralized system of administration in the country” and therefore “many issues
must be agreed to in Moscow,” wherever a company would be located.
So why then did Putin utter words
about “‘shifting centers of profit to the regions,’” Region.Expert asks. “Possibly because his advisors told him that
the residents of Russian regions are ever more unhappy that Moscow takes all
their resources and send them in exchange only its appointed representatives and
other trash.”
Thus
Putin tries to play the part of “’the good tsar.’” But he has changed nothing,
and people in the regions can see that. This is a show, and it is a show that
can’t go on forever without the most negative consequences for the peoples of the
Russian Federation.
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