Paul
Goble
Staunton, May 17 – Last year, Russia’s
Military University (the former Military-Political Academy) introduced a
special course on psychological warfare to prepare officers to counter the West’s
“culture war” against the country in general and its armed forces during hybrid
wars in particular, Anton Chablin reports.
That war, the Svobodnaya pressa commentator says, plays an increasing role in Western
strategy which involves using non-military communications technology to change
the behavior of its targets, in this case, Russian soldiers and sailors, and
thus open the way to their defeat even before the battle is joined (svpressa.ru/war21/article/232972/).
Leading the charge to develop the necessary
skills to counter such Western efforts, Chablin says, is Ruslan Tsalikov, the
first deputy defense minister, who has been pushing to elevate such abilities
to the same level as mastery of more conventional weapons because as he has
said, “ever more often, non-military means are used to achieve political and strategic
goals.”
From Soviet times onward, Russian
officers have been concerned with countering such psychological operations in
war-time situations. What is new is that the defense ministry now views this as
a full-time focus, given that Russia’s opponents may use psychological warfare
at any time.
The Internet has expanded the West’s
ability to produce behavioral changes in Russians. But even before the world
wide web appeared, the West was able to bring down the Soviet Union, Russian
military personnel believe, through the use of Western movies, consumer goods
and values.
As one would expect, Russian
officers and commentators like Chablin stress that Moscow is developing a
defensive capability in this area. But
the same skills needed to defend against psychological warfare of the
culturological kind can be used to practice it against an opponent.
That suggests three conclusions that
Chablin and his defense ministry interlocutors do not draw in public but almost
certainly have drawn in private. First,
ever more Russian military personnel are being trained to operate in hybrid war
situations, places where their ability to counter and use psychological warfare
techniques are key.
That is an indication that the
military is positioning itself to be the dominant Russian force in such
conflicts, shouldering aside both the so-called “private military companies”
and the intelligence agencies – or at least laying down an argument as to why
the army rather than the others should be in charge.
Second, the defense ministry is
moving ever more massively into the propaganda operations of the Russian state,
drawing on the principles of psychological warfare to play an ever larger role
in defining the efforts acknowledged and not of Moscow to affect populations in
other countries.
Given that much of the Russian
defense budget is classified or otherwise hidden, the Russian defense ministry may
be able to play a far larger role earlier than anyone else. That in turn means
that Russian spending on such subversive activities is now greater than thought
and may become greater still.
And third, this concern about
psychological warfare now suggests that senior commanders are worried about the
rapidly changing attitudes of Russians drafted into military service. Because of the consumerist values many of
these young people have, officers cannot count on the same level of
unquestioned obedience they received in the past.
Consequently, concern about
countering what Russian military theorists call “cultural warfare” may presage
an expanded military presence in civilian activities like schools in order to
counter unwelcome outside influences on young people even before they put on
uniforms as soldiers or sailors.
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