Paul
Goble
Staunton, October 10 – As of 2017,
10.6 million Russians, or 9.7 percent of the country’s working-age population,
are employed abroad. Most of them are highly skilled, and consequently, their
departure constitutes a serious brain drain that will make it harder for the
Russian economy to recover, according to the World Bank.
In a report entitled, “Migration and
Brain Drain in Europe and Central Asia,” investigators reported that the number
of Russians working abroad exceeded those from Ukraine, Belarus and Moldova
“taken together” (finanz.ru/novosti/aktsii/utechka-mozgov-iz-rossii-prevysila-10-millionov-chelovek-1028587894).
This outflow from Russia is more
than covered by the inflow of workers from Central Asia and the Caucasus, the
Bank study says; but “between emigres and immigrants, there is an essential
difference: Those arriving are mostly poorly qualified workers; while those
leaving are “’an intellectual migration,’” 70 percent of whom have at least
some higher education.
And this problem appears likely to
get worse, Finanz.ru reports. According to a Boston Consulting Group
survey, 50 percent of Russian scholars, 52 percent of senior managers, and54
percent of IT specialists want to work abroad. In addition, 49 percent of
Russian engineers and 46 percent of Russian doctors do as well.
Almost two thirds of these potential
emigres are in the IT field, and 57 percent of them are under 30. Among university students below the age of
21, 59 percent say they would prefer to work abroad rather than in Russia.
Their preferred countries are Germany, Israel and Sweden, the site says.
But even if the Russian government
is successful in blocking the departure of these people in the future, the
World Bank study concludes, this won’t help Russia as much as the Kremlin
imagines. “Highly qualified workers are
not always productive in countries with low incomes” especially if they are
unhappy about other conditions of life as well.
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