Tuesday, May 3, 2022

Emerging World Order will See State Sovereignty Weakening and Chances for Unilateral Secession Increasing, Kotsyubinsky Says

Paul Goble

            Staunton, April 22 – A nuclear war among major powers is unlikely to happen because it would be the end of civilization, Daniil Kotsyubinsky says; but what is coming appears likely to be a radical reordering of the international order, one in which state sovereignty will be significantly weakened and the chances for unilateral secession by regions increasing.

            The instructor at St. Petersburg State University who has attracted attention in the past for his advocacy of regionalism within the Russian Federation says that what is emerging is something “completely hybrid” in that it will involve “’cooperation with clenched teeth’” among the various superpowers (gorod-812.ru/kogda-i-kak-nastupit-vek-regionaczij/)

            But in addition, each of the superpowers will seek to use various dissident regions in the other, including among many others Xinjiang and Tibet in China, Kashmir and the Tamils in India, Huzestan in Iran, Kurdistan in Iraq, Northern Yemen in Arabia, Western Papua in Indonesia, Hungary, Serbia and Poland in Europe, and Texas and the Southern states in the US.

            “Sooner or later,” Kotsyubinsky says, “this will lead to the erosion of the current dogmas about sovereignty and the territorial integrity of states which are members of the UN and the formal legalization of the rights of regional communities to unilateral secession” from the states they are now part of.

            That in turn, he continues, will “gradually weaken” the major powers, and thus, “the era of superpowers will be replaced by an era of regional civilizations not only in words but also in fact,” with power residing less in the existing powers than in regions consisting of those powers and the regional secessionists they support.

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