Paul
Goble
Staunton, October 26 – Only 92 of Russia’s wealthiest
200 people are ethnic Russians, a far smaller share (46 percent) than their percentage in the
population of that country (77 percent), according to an analysis of new figures offered by Forbes.ru
carried out by a Kazakh for Dal.by, a Belarusian business website.
The Forbes listing (forbes.ru/rating/200-bogateishih-biznesmenov-rossii-2013/2013)
shows, the Belarusian site says, that Slavs form 59 percent of the total (92
ethnic Russians, 25 Ukrainians, and one Belarusian), the Jews 23 percent,
Caucasians 9.5 percent, the Tatars and Uzbeks 5.5 percent, and others, 3
percent (dal.by/news/4/24-10-13-25/).
The
author, who earlier published an analysis of the ethnic breakdown of the
Russian foreign ministry, says that it is not hard to make these calculations on
the basis of public information and that many are interested in such studies
but fear to publish them lest they run afoul of the Russian Federation’s
anti-extremist legislation.
He
acknowledges that many of these ethnic identifications are only nominal: many
who are listed as members of one or another ethnic or religious group, are in
fact Russian in all but name. Nonetheless, he suggests, the numbers tell
something important about where Russia is and where it may be headed.
According
to the Dal.by writer, what is most striking about his findings is that most
Turkic and Finno-Ugric nations, despite their size, are not represented on the
list of Russia’s wealthiest. He says
that is a matter of concern because of what it may say about the prospects for his
fellow Kazakhs in a common economic space with the Russian Federation.
And
he says it may also be a matter of concern for ethnic Russians who might
conclude that their government is more inclined to help not their national but
rather “a Lezgin or Avar.” He adds that
Russians may also view the share of Jews in this list as “an extremely
interesting theme” for thinking about the future.
Given
the ever more ethnically charged atmosphere in the Russian Federation, reports
like this one on Dal.by almost certainly fall into the category of “dangerous
knowledge,” information that at least some more extreme nationalists may be
inclined to use to mobilize their community against others.
Even if such efforts do not lead to
violence, they could cause the Russian government to be even more sensitive
than it has been to the ethnicity of those with whom it does business and thus
provoke new divisions within the Russian elite with all the economic and
ultimately political consequences that could have.
And, especially given that this
breakdown was put forward by a Kazakh and published on a Belarusian site, such
information and any Russian efforts to exploit it could easily become yet
another argument in Astana and Minsk against closer integration with the Russian Federation.
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