Paul
Goble
Staunton, August 4 – Moscow’s
occupation and annexation of Crimea has attracted enormous attention and much
criticism, but its efforts to get the international community to declare a much
larger area of the Arctic Ocean Russian coastal waters and thus an exclusion
zone have not.
That may be about to change. Moscow
has just filed a revised request with the International Commission on
Continental Shelf Boundaries, a UN body, and asked that the commission grant
Russian the right to an economic exclusion zone in the Arctic far beyond the
current 350 miles from its shores (tass.ru/politika/2162910).
The
Russian government made a similar request in 2001, but after three years of
study and controversy with the other Arctic powers – Norway, Denmark, Canada
and the United States – the commission rejected that application. Now, on what
it says is new research over the last decade, Moscow is applying again.
The
Russian argument is that various undersea mountains and plateaus are part of
its continental shelf and therefore naturally part of its coastal waters. But
the other Arctic powers and others, including China, have disputed that,
arguing that these subsea features are separate and independent from any
continental shelf.
Two
things make this case especially serious now. On the one hand, investigations
carried out by each of the five Arctic countries suggest that about 30 percent
of the world’s natural gas reserves and 15 percent of its oil are under the
Arctic Sea. If Russia gains control over a large part of the Arctic, that will
have significant economic and political consequences.
And
on the other, global warming means that the Northern Sea route from Asia to
Europe via the Arctic Ocean is now open for a much longer time each year than
was the case only a decade ago. How it will develop depends in important ways
as to whether it remains an international waterway with free passage for all or
Russian coastal waters Moscow will control.
Moscow’s
original request included not only areas in the Arctic Ocean but also the Sea
of Okhotsk, but this one does not because Moscow has already won on that point.
In March 2014, the UN agreed to recognize that sea between Kamchatka and the
Russian mainland as Russian waters, something that Moscow has used to squeeze
out Chinese, Korean and Japanese fishing.
The
Russian application says that Russia has held consultations with three of the four
other Arctic powers but not with the US. It adds that Moscow will hold talks
with the US as well “after the adoption by the Commission of the recommendations
according to the filing of the Russian Federation.”
In
another move to put pressure on the UN and its member countries to agree to its
request, Moscow says that it has included this issue on the preliminary agenda
for the next UN General Assembly meeting this fall, a meeting Vladimir Putin
will attend and address, according to the Kremlin.
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