Staunton, August 6 – What is taking place in Daghestan now, a “Vzglyad” journalist says, “can be compared with the second Chechen war” in that as in Chechnya, Moscow wants to return the republic to the Russian legal field just as it hoped to do in Chechnya. But as in Chechnya, what Moscow intends for Daghestan and what it is likely to get may not coincide.
On the one hand, Daghestan is multi-national and at risk of fragmentation if the delicate balance among the major nationalities there is undermined. And on the other, almost any strongman Moscow might install would likely be forced to cut deals and behave independently as Chechnya’s Ramzan Kadyrov has and thus represent another kind of problem for Russia.
In an article in “Vzglyad” yesterday, Petr Akopov says that the wave of FSB attacks on and arrests of Daghestani mafia leaders has already changed the balance of ethnic power in the republic, something that may undercut Moscow’s hopes to restore popular trust in the government in Makachkala (vz.ru/politics/2015/8/5/759515.html