Paul
Goble
Staunton, October 3 – Proof that
Moscow was behind the shooting down of the Malaysian airliner has far larger
and more explosive consequences than many now think because unlike the Soviet
Union’s shooting down of the KAL jet, this latest action was “a crime within the
crime” of invading Ukraine, according to Russian commentator Igor Eidman.
That fact makes Vladimir Putin, now “an
unmasked but not yet disarmed criminal” even “more dangerous” because he is
likely to conclude that he has “nothing to lose” by acting ever more
aggressively at home and abroad and every reason to do so in order to delay any
day of reckoning for his crimes (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=57F1292E8F5B2).
Some analysts have suggested that neither
the USSR nor the US suffered “any particular consequences” when the first by
intention shot down the Korean jetliner and the latter accidentally shot the Iranian
one. But that was the case, Eidman says,
only because these actions, unlike the shooting down of MH17 didn’t occur in
the course of a larger crime.
He suggests that the following analogy
helps to understand why the current case is different. If gangsters kill an
innocent bystander while robbing a bank, “in recognizing that these gangers killed
someone, one cannot fail to recognize that they also robbed the bank and shot
at policemen.”
In the current case, if one has the kind
of proof that the international commission has now provided that Russia shot
down the MH17, “one must automatically recognize Russian aggression” because the
Russian forces which did this were illegally on the territory of a foreign
state – Ukraine – and were firing from positions acquired by aggression.
That puts the final nail in the coffin of
Putin’s insistence that “’there is no evidence’ of the participation of the Russian
army in the war against Ukraine,” Eidman points out. Now , it has been
demonstrated that “the Russian president began a secret war against a
neighboring European state as a result of which tens of thousands of people have
died.”
“The entire world not only knows but has
legal evidence,” the Russian commentator continues, “that the blood of these
victims is on [Putin] and his subordinates, and this means that they de facto have already been recognized as
international military criminals.”
Those who suggest that Putin will now back
down in some way do not understand him or his position. The Kremlin leader “cannot but understand
that only remaining in office will defend him from a reckoning for his crimes.” He will thus hold onto the presidency ever
more tightly, Eidman argues, and won’t even consider a 2008 arrangement in
which he allows someone else to function under his control.
Putin will certainly continue to suggest
that the conclusions about MH17 are evidence of “a conspiracy against Russia,”
which may win him some support at home for a time. And he is likely to continue
to try to present himself to the West as its ally against Islamist terrorism,
although that too will be ever less successful given what he says at home and does
in Aleppo.
The Kremlin leader’s next moves, Eidman
argues, are likely to include both the imposition of “a chauvinist and
xenophobic ideology” on the Russian people and more actions in foreign affairs
based on the proposition that “’the best defense is a good offense’” with “ever more new military adventures” to
follow.
As Putin himself has observed, “a rat
finds himself cornered will lash out at those around him until he falls under
the irreversible wheel of history.”
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