Paul
Goble
Staunton, December 19 – Russians,
polls suggest, would like to see Russia become a fascist state but it lacks one
necessary ingredient, a genuinely fascist-type leader, Yevgeny Ikhlov
says. As a result, it and they may be
saved not by legal structures which unfortunately Russia does not yet have but rather
by the absence of such a leader now or in the near future.
On the Kasparov.ru portal today, the
Moscow commentator recalls that exactly two years ago he wrote about the way in
which Putinism was increasingly acquiring fascist tendencies (e-v-ikhlov.livejournal.com/99032.html)
not only because of the Kremlin leader’s plans but because of the Russian
people’s attitudes (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=585783DE6F612).
“The evolution and transformation of
Putinism occurs in waves, including periodic returns to ‘normalcy’ with a
reduction in the level and harshness of political repressions, struggles
against falsified criminal cases,” and so on, Ikhov says. But then these are followed by periods of
even greater authoritarianism.
But one thing remains constant, he
suggests: “Society wants fascism,” not in most cases the harsh and mobilized variant
of Hitler but the softer kind of Mussolini or Franco or Salazar – and that
means that Putin always can count on this to support him when he shifts from
one direction to another.
“According to all the surveys,”
Ikhlov continues, Russians, by significant majorities, “back more media and
social network censorship, limitations on immigration, introduction of greater
police control over private life and civil society, various kinds of state
indoctrination, and an increase in the clerical and militarist component of
this including in schools.”
Moreover, these same surveys show
that “a significant number of people of all age cohorts accept the
quasi-monarchical character of the powers that be and the means of its
legitimation in the form of ritualized ‘elections.’” And they “especially like the foreign policy
aggressiveness alongside indifference to its consequences: the war in the
Donbass and in Syria.”
And Russians, again in super
majorities, are pleased by the revival of a romantic image of their country, “connected
with the idealization of their medieval rulers and imperial wars” and the
accompanying isolation and even persecution of those who critically question
any of this in public.
But at least so far, Russians “don’t
need ritual-orgiastic mass actions in the Nazi style,” although there is some
of that among the young and among those who would like to see Russian forces
advance even further into Ukraine or drive into the Baltic states. But they do not yet set the weather.
Those who would like a full-blown
fascist state in Russia are still “disappointed” because they lack a fuehrer
who could “crystalize” Russian state fascism. Putin clearly is too bourgeois
for this role, Ikhlov says. “There is in him no insane faith in his own higher appointment”
either of the kind displayed by Hitler and Mussolini or that by Stalin.
Nor has the Kremlin ruler “built
illusions as far as personal devotion to himself is concerned.” Putin is very
much aware, Ikhlov suggests, that those who show loyalty to him now could and
would easily show loyalty to someone else tomorrow, an awareness that also has
consequences for his policies
At the same time, the Russian
commentator continues, Aleksey Navalny “cannot be such a leader either.” It may be, Ikhlov says, that this is because
like Putin, he is a lawyer and lawyers by their very nature aren’t inclined to
the messianism that fascist leaders typically and perhaps necessarily must
reflect.
Thus, for the time being, the
transformation of Russia into a fascist state is being delayed not by strong
legal structures but by the absence of a leader, an important but not
necessarily permanent state of affairs.
At the end of his essay, Ikhlov
reports the following: “About 30 years ago, the now late Andrey Fadin told me
that Roosevelt, Churchill and Stalin were similarly authoritarian in their
natures and that had Dzhugashvili been president of the US he would have
operated like Roosevelt and had Roosevelt been chosen general secretary of the Bolshevik
party he would have behaved in a Stalinist manner.”
That conclusion highlights three
things: the importance of institutions, the importance of culture, and the
importance of individual leaders. In many places, institutions and culture are
bulwarks against fascism. In Russia, unfortunately, the only check on them is
the existence or non-existence of a leader prepared to move in that direction.
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