Paul
Goble
Staunton, December 19 – Vladimir Putin’s
military campaign in Syria, Moscow commentator Maksim Kalashnikov says, is “Orwellian
in the purest way, completely in the style of “1984” because “it serves exactly the same goals
that the unending battles” that lie behind the story of that 1948 English
novel.
Like Orwell’s rulers, he argues
today on the Forum-MSK.org potal, “the Kremlin doesn’t need a victory: it needs
to prolong it as far into the future as possible in order to use it as an
instrument of domestic policy and as the basis for propaganda” abroad (forum-msk.org/material/power/12608141.html).
“The Syrian political technology war
is being conducted on the periphery,” Kalashnikov says, “and there is no way
that it can spill over into the territory of the Russian Federation.” And that means, he continues, that “the war
in Syria … is being conducted as a form of theater for the benefit of
television screens.”
Even the risks that the Islamists
will strike inside Russia are straight out of “1984,” something that the
Russian regime and its media occasionally refer to, he argues. That is because
they recall the occasional attacks on London in that novel that killed a few of
the people but never touched the elites.
But both in English fiction and
Russian reality, this “political technological war” provides “a justification of
the economic failings of the powers that be, the impoverishment of the masses,
the senile obsession with guns instead of butter, and the suppression of any dissatisfaction
within the country.”
Indeed, according to Kalashnikov, “this
plot is practically ideal [as] it allows the Russian ‘elite’ to preserve its ‘power
and wealth,’ to keep the Russian economy a raw materials-exporting one, and to
ensure the controlled dying out of the [ethnic] Russians, demographically,
biologically, mentally and morally.”
And the regime needs exactly that
now because unlike during Putin’s first two terms, it doesn’t have the ability
to offer the population a better life in exchange for leaving politics and
power to others. Now, the Kremlin can say “There’s a war on! Be patient!” and
have some expectation that most Russians will do as they are told.
The regime is not risking anything
by taking this approach, Kalashnikov says: “The electorate from year to year is
becoming ever more dumbed down and practically does not read any books. Its
members don’t know Orwell.” But there can be no doubt, he concludes, that “it
is precisely “1984” that inspired the imagination of the Kremlin political
directors.”
That Russian television is in active
support of this Orwellian project isn’t surprising. Indeed, in recent months,
Moscow channels have started a new set of programs which show Russians fighting
abroad and thus seek to make that into something entirely “normal” (belsat.eu/ru/news/rasejskiya-seryyaly-i-prapaganda-yak-ment-dukalis-pramyvau-mazgi-belarusam/).
This development is especially
worrisome to countries like Belarus whose population watches such programming,
but at the same time, such programs, like the telescreens in Orwell’s novel,
may be having an even greater effect in Russia itself, something that does not
bode well for either the rest of the world or for Russia itself.
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