Staunton, December 16 -- The flood of news stories from a country as large,
diverse and strange as the Russian Federation often appears to be is far too
large for anyone to keep up with. But there needs to be a way to mark those
which can’t be discussed in detail but which are too indicative of broader
developments to ignore.
Consequently, Windows on Eurasia presents a selection of 13 of these other and
typically neglected stories at the end of each week. This is the 62nd
such compilation. It is only suggestive and far from complete – indeed, once
again, one could have put out such a listing every day -- but perhaps one or
more of these stories will prove of broader interest.
1.
For Putin, a
Decidedly Mixed Week.
Vladimir Putin’s much-ballyhooed victories this week – Donald Trump’s
appointment of pro-Moscow officials and the defeat of opposition forces in
Aleppo in alliance with Syria’s Bashar al-Asad – have not been unalloyed. On the
one hand, reports about the Kremlin’s interference in the US elections has
raised concerns around the world (znak.com/2016-12-15/smi_putin_lichno_uchastvoval_vo_vmeshatelstve_v_vybory_prezidenta_ssha) and
prompted Ekho Moskvy to poll its readers as to whether they’d like to have
Secretary of State nominee Rex Tillerson as Russian president (echo.msk.ru/polls/1890798-echo.html). And on the
other, Putin’s actions in Aleppo have sparked outrage around the world and his
efforts to defend himself may be backfiring in Russia itself: The Kremlin
leader gets support from the usual
sources – Patriarch Kirill says the war in Syria is “just, defensive and holy” (youtube.com/watch?v=bko2IrDMnKw&feature=share)
– even as his emissaries claim that charges against Russian forces are
falsified (https://inforesist.org/churkin-o-pogibshih-detyah-v-aleppo-ih-posyipayut-pyilyu-chtobyi-vyidat-za-zhertv/?f). But Russians may be asking
themselves just how long they will be tied down there, given the appearance of
a new calendar addressed to Russian forces in Syria that continues through
December of next year and by the statement of one Syria woman, dressed in
traditional Russian clothes, that “I’m at peace when my land is under your
control” (ru-open.livejournal.com/315854.html). But in addition to these problems, Putin got some
more bad news: Almost a third of Russians say they have a poorer opinion of him
now than they did a year ago (vedomosti.ru/politics/articles/2016/12/13/669324-otnoshenie-putinu-uhudshilos), even his allies on the post-Soviet space won’t
join him in condemning the demolition of Soviet statues in Poland (regnum.ru/news/polit/2217034.html),
and his aides say that his signature policy, a new law on the Russian nation,
isn’t going to happen anytime soon. Indeed, the Kremlin official responsible
for coming up with a draft says it won’t even be prepared until August 2017 (kremlin.ru/events/president/news/53173 and http://nazaccent.ru/content/22657-akademik-tishkov-sostavil-dose-na-vseh.html).
2.
Russia, Having
Lost a Trillion US Dollars in Capital Flight since 1991, Is Losing More at an
Increasing Rate.
A Russian newspaper has documented how Russia has lost a trillion US dollars –
that is a one followed by 12 zeros! – since 1991 (republic.ru/posts/77247), and new reports suggest that the pace of outflow is again
increasing dramatically, up 700 percent over the last year (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=584ED8C9109E1). Not surprisingly, Russian officials have denied
all this, but they now do acknowledge that the country’s reserve fund will run
out of cash next year (echo.msk.ru/news/1890460-echo.html). Other bad economic
news this week includes: a deputy prime minister says that more Russians are
now poor than official figures show (echo.msk.ru/news/1893166-echo.html),
economists say that the prospect for new jobs in the monogorods is miniscule (iarex.ru/articles/53360.html),
and Moscow analysts say that the Russian government is now trying to balance
its budget on the backs of the poor and the unemployed (newsland.com/community/7411/content/gosudarstvo-sekonomit-na-bednykh-uvechnykh-i-bezrabotnykh/5597345).
But despite all this, many Russians now say they are trying to save money for
the future in the expectation that things are going to get even worse (ng.ru/economics/2016-12-15/4_6885_blackday.html).
3.
US Anti-Doping
Officials: No International Games Should Take Place in Russia Until Moscow Changes
Course. The US anti-doping agency, following the release
of a report documenting that the Russian government operated a secret doping
program that involved more than 1000 Russian athletes, says that Russia should
be expelled from the International Olympic Committee and that no international
athletic competition, including presumably the 2018 World Cup, should take in
Russia until Moscow comes clean and cleans up its act (gazeta.ru/sport/news/2016/12/10/n_9438077.shtml). Moscow has reacted to the new doping report in its
usual way, claiming that it is entirely invented as part of an anti-Russian
plot (stoletie.ru/vzglyad/a_maklaren-to_zhulik_320.htm, themoscowtimes.com/articles/first-anger-than-denial-russia-reacts-to-new-wada-accusations-56516, meduza.io/feature/2016/12/09/doklad-o-dopinge-v-rossii-reaktsii and
https://republic.ru/posts/77255). But even Russian experts concede there is too much
evidence in the report to dismiss it in this way (forum-msk.org/material/fpolitic/12585331.html), and some are expressing real fears that Putin’s
rush for the gold at Sochi may have the effect of killing of Russian sports at
the international level for some time (profile.ru/obsch/item/113586-rossiyu-mogut-ostavit-bez-sporta).
4. Russia’s ‘Monuments War Threatens to
Become a Civil War.’ Anger on all sides about monuments to
dictators and White Russian leaders going up and about monuments to Soviet
leaders coming down have so divided Russians that “the monuments war threatens to
become a civil war,” in the words of one commentator (forum-msk.org/material/society/12584252.html). This week the major controversy was over the fate of
the Yeltsin Museum in Yekaterinburg, something some want torn down because of
the messages it sends about Russia and that others insist must be defended for
precisely that reason (meduza.io/news/2016/12/13/medinskiy-napisal-statyu-s-kritikoy-eltsin-tsentra, znak.com/2016-12-13/spor_o_elcin_centre_eto_spor_o_nashem_buduchem and ej.ru/?a=note&id=30520). But there were other clashes on the fronts of this “war.”
Among them: a monument to General Markov is going up (dvk-media.ru/stat/generalmirotvorets), electricity to the Tolstoy Museum has been cut off
(regnum.ru/news/economy/2215781.html),
calls for Lenin statues to go because he was a murder (znak.com/2016-12-09/rezhisser_belorusskogo_vokzala), a Siberian was jailed for
opening a museum devoted to Admiral
Kolchak (ura.ru/news/1052270785), and a Stalin monument is about to
be erected in Arkhangelsk (forum-msk.org/material/news/12574109.html).
5. Obscurantism Continues to Spread
across Putin’s Russia. Parents and students are angry that the Russian
Orthodox Church and now anti-extremism crusaders are taking so much class time
in schools and universities that subjects they view as more important are being
sacrificed (portal-credo.ru/site/?act=authority&id=2229, themoscowtimes.com/news/russian-university-students-schooled-on-patriotism-by-orthodox-priest-56524, nazaccent.ru/content/22625-v-shkolah-namereny-vvesti-antiekstremistskoe-vospitanie.html and kommersant.ru/doc/3165112). But that is
just the tip of the iceberg as far as obscurantism in Russia is concerned. A
senior Russian churchman declared that theologians trained in the West are just
as dangerous as jihadist terrorists trained in medreassahs in the Middle East (beregrus.ru/?p=8508), the Patriarchate is now using its own
personal guard to attack its opponents (politsovet.ru/53984-lichnaya-gvardiya-patriarha-kirilla-poshla-v-ataku-na-komandu-medvedeva.html),
plagiarization of dissertations is now extending into the publications world
and on the same corrupt bases (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=585114A19A7C4),
and the European University in St. Petersburg has been closed by Moscow
officials (themoscowtimes.com/news/european-university-in-st-petersburg-closed-by-russian-education-watchdog-56499). In still
other developments this week, Internet freedom took another nosedive in Russia (www.ixtc.org/2016/12/blog-leonida-volkova-indeks-svobody-interneta-novyy-shtopor/) with Moscow officials proudly
declaring that they have blocked 26,000 “extremist” sites (regnum.ru/news/polit/2216976.html). They
presumably are less thrilled by the report that the agency responsible for that
managed to block for a time its own IP addrss by mistake (https://rufabula.com/news/2016/12/12/rkn).
6. Medvedev at It Again. Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev can hardly
speak without offering his listeners a fresh supply of observations that are
alternatively amusing and disturbing. This time around, he has said that Moscow’s
spending more on the military-industrial complex is a way to boost Russia’s
civilian production and that the country is now producing more medicines but that
prices are going up. Some commentators have suggested that with Medvedev,
listeners don’t need fact checkers; they need reality checks (qha.com.ua/ru/politika/medvedev-rost-rashodov-na-vpk-polezen-dlya-grajdanskogo-sektora-rf/168903/, svpressa.ru/health/news/162663/ and tvrain.ru/articles/chek_med-423442/).
7. Another Orwellian Development. Dozens of Russians were arrested for reading
the Russian Constitution in public on Constitution Day, even though polls show
fewer than half of Russians have ever done so and evidence suggests that the
Putin regime doesn’t care what the country’s basic law says anyway (khpg.org/en/index.php?id=1481586738).
8.
Russian Active
Measures have a Long and Odious History…
As the world grapples with the fact that Moscow interfered actively in
the US elections, Russian outlets are featuring stories showing that their
country has a long and even distinguished history of active measures. Not only
did the tsarist government mint counterfeit Dutch coins to fund its fleet
development (profile.ru/culture/item/113779-falshivki-iz-chistogo-zolota),
but it bribed numerous members of the French National Assembly before World War
I to get French loans for Russian projects (ttolk.ru/2016/12/16/как-мид-и-минфин-царской-россии-подкуп/).
But in some ways, the most intriguing story to surface this week concerns the
use of a Chekist favorite against the Soviet population. A new book by historian A.V. Venkov documents
that Stalin’s secret police ran a “Trust”-like operation in the early 1930s against
Cossacks in the Don not only to undermine resistance to collectivization but
also to gather compromat on Nikolai Bukharin. (See A.V. Venkov, “Delo senina” ili operatsiya “Trest’ na
Verkhnem Don (Moscow: Airo-XXI, 2016).
9.
… And are Again
Becoming More Vicious Abroad and at Home. The BBC reports that Russian hitmen have
killed at least 12 people in Turkey (bbc.com/news/magazine-38294204), women
workers at an emerald plant in Siberia say they are now being harassed “Gestapo-style”
at work (siberiantimes.com/other/others/news/n0812_women-workers-at-emerald-plant-allege-gestapo-style-harassment-in-naked-security-checks/), and there
are suggestions that the Russian secret police is planting child pornography on
the computers of its opponents to discredit them not only in the UK but in
Karelia as well (ruposters.ru/news/15-12-2016/sozdatelya-spiska-zhertv-arestovali).
10. Zhirinovsky Says Russians Should Celebrate Christmas
on December 25 ‘Like Everyone Else.’ Under the calendar
the Russian Orthodox Church still uses, Christmas falls 13 days after it is
celebrated elsewhere around the world. LDPR leader Vladimir Zhirinovsky says
Moscow should change to the international date, something that would
significantly shorten the Russian winter holiday period (newizv.ru/society/2016-12-14/250135-lider-ldpr-predlozhil-prazdnovat-rozhdestvo-25-dekabrja.html). Intriguingly, the proposal by the flamboyant
Russian politician has gotten support this time around from hierarchs in the Moscow
Patriarchate (newizv.ru/society/2016-12-14/250158-v-rpc-ideju-perenesti-rozhdestvo-na-25-dekabrja-nazvali-zdravoj.html).
11. Duma Committee on Religion and Public Organizations Adds
Civil Society to Its Name. The Duma committee for the affairs of religious and
public organizations will now be known as the committee for civil society,
religious affairs and public organizations, a change in name that seems
unlikely to do anything to step the Russian state’s attacks on all three (interfax-religion.ru/?act=news&div=65493).
12. Conspiracy Theories Work for Authoritarian Leaders but
Against Their Peoples. Andrey Pesotsky
has pointed out an important reality that is often overlooked: The spread of
conspiracy theories, which suggest that there are hidden forces behind the scenes
orchestrating everything, benefits authoritarian leaders like Vladimir Putin
but very much harms their populations because it promotes the idea that
ordinary people cannot do anything and thus must rely on powerful leaders to
protect them (svpressa.ru/blogs/article/162450/).
13. Are Calls to ‘Shoot the Mad Dogs’ on the Way? Mufti
Ismail Berdiyev, the head of the Coordinating Council of Muslims of the North
Caucasus, says that the Yeltsin Center in Yekaterinburg should be investigated
for subversion and that once that is proved it should be blown up to save
Russia (newizv.ru/politics/2016-12-14/250157-skandalno-izvestnyj-muftij-ne-iskljuchil-vzryv-elcin-centra.html).
And six more from
countries in Russia’s neighborhood:
1. Ukrainian President Calls for New Sanctions on Moscow
over Aleppo. Petro Poroshenko has called for the
imposition of new sanctions against Russia for Moscow’s role in the devastation
of Aleppo in actions that many describe as crimes of war and crimes against humanity
(kasparov.ru/material.php?id=585246583B201).
2.
Lviv Store Offers New Door Maps for
Ukrainians to Wipe Their Feet on Putin’s Face. A
store in the western Ukrainian city of Lviv is offering door mats showing Putin’s
face and inviting Ukrainians to wipe their shoes on it (newsland.com/community/4109/content/vitiraite-nogi/5594881).
3.
Minsk Defends Itself by Arresting Russian Journalists. The Belarusian
government has sparked a new round of controversy with Moscow by arresting
Russian journalists there who it says are promoting Putin’s “Russian world”
against Belarusian national interests and even independence (snob.ru/selected/entry/117902, dsnews.ua/world/za-yazyk-ne-tyanuli-spasut-li-lukashenko-aresty-adeptov-russkogo-10122016200000 and belaruspartisan.org/politic/364540/).
4. Belarusians
Say They Don’t Want to Go to Russia to Fight for Moscow. Alyaksandr
Lukashenka has signed an agreement under the terms of which Belarusians will be
compelled to go to Russia to participate in counter-terrorism and other
military actions, a decision that has sparked outrage among many Belarusians
who say they do not want to be sent to Russia to fight Russia's battles (charter97.org/ru/news/2016/12/13/234221/).
5. Lithuanian Stores Offer Toy ‘Polite’ Russian Soldiers for
Christmas. Lithuania is gearing up to resist the Russian
threat and now that effort has involves toys and children. Stores in the country’s capital are offering
for sale toy “polite people” as Russian occupiers of Crimea were known
presumably so that children can get used to the idea that they may have to
resist the same tactic (newizv.ru/world/2016-12-13/250112-v-litve-v-prodazhe-pojavilis-igrushechnye-rossijskie-soldaty-vezhlivye-ljudi.html).
6.
Turkmenistan Bans Listening to Radio Liberty.
Ashgabat has threatened to impose harsh penalties on anyone who goes to
the Radio Liberty website for news, a revival of a Cold War-era tactic Moscow
used together with jamming (centrasia.ru/news.php?st=1481276700).
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