Paul
Goble
Staunton, December 12 – For months, Moscow
commentators have suggested that Russians are caught between what the Kremlin shows
them on television and what they see in their increasingly empty refrigerators and
predicted that eventually the refrigerator would defeat the TV and that this
would have immediate political consequences.
The findings of two polls published today
suggest that these prognosticators were half right: ever more Russians view the
refrigerator – their personal well-being – as more important than television’s ideological
messages about Russia as a great power but few think they can or should take
political action, concluding they must try to save themselves in other ways.
The first poll, by the Levada Center,
found that 33 percent of Russians now say their personal well-being is more
important than the status of the state, an increase of six percent from a year
ago. And fewer, 16 percent as opposed to 24 percent, think Russia has “’a
completely special system and path of development” (rbc.ru/politics/12/12/2016/584b0fc29a794748ba1c40b7).
The survey also found that 64 percent of
Russians now say that a high standard of living is an important marker of a
great power, up from 41 percent last year. The current figure, which is the
same as it was before Putin came to power in 1999, is a very different
conclusion than the one Russian television has promoted.
Moreover, the Levada Center found that
Russians “ever less often associate with the term ‘great power’ a ‘heroic past’
and ‘the enormous size of the country.’” In May 2016, 24 and 21 percent of the sample
did; now, only ten percent do in both cases.
But those who predicted that such a shift
in values would lead to political action against the Putin regime seem certain
to be disappointed, if the results of a second poll also released today are correct. This VTsIOM survey found that only ten
percent of Russians think that taking part in politics is important (ruskline.ru/news_rl/2016/12/12/neizvestnaya_konstituciya/).
Instead,
most Russians appear focused on their immediate personal needs by acting for
themselves or together with those closest to them rather than by engaging in
collective political action. That of course is a victory for the messages Putin’s
television has been sending even if the refrigerator is now defeating some of
his others.
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