Paul Goble
Staunton,
January 29 – If Moscow continues to tighten the screws and imposes an ever more
progressive “tax” on successful regions to fill its coffers, Tatarstan
historian Ayrat Fayzrakhmanov says, Russia will soon return to the fake
federalism of Soviet times when Moscow took almost everything and left the
regions and republics with nothing.
In a
commentary for Kazan’s “Business-Gazeta,” he points out that since 2010, Moscow
has taken two-thirds of the increase in the incomes of federal subjects from
taxes and other sources leaving those which are doing well with fewer resources
to address the unfunded mandates the center has imposed on them (business-gazeta.ru/article/335364).
The
logic is simple but cruel, Fayzrakhmanov says, “the more you earn, the less you
get,” a result of what he calls “the ‘progressive’ tax” Moscow is now imposing
on donor regions. If Moscow doesn’t move even more rapidly in that direction,
current trends say that Tatarstan will control little on its own territory in
coming decades.
It
is thus no surprise, he continues, that few in Moscow ever recall federalism in
their speeches. References to federalism
“not only are not fashionable but apparently have non grata status in public.” Even in the Federation Council which consists
of people who nominally represent the republics and regions there is no mention
of it.
Instead,
the Tatar analyst says, “it has become a mark of good tone to curse the
appearance of federalism” supposedly introduced by the Bolsheviks “with a
stroke of the pen” and to denounce it as something “’unnecessary’” for Russia.
They appear to think that if harsh centralization had been imposed, “we would
live in the best country of the world.”
Such
claims don’t withstand any examination, Fayzrakhmanov says. In Russian history,
hyper-centralization has always been “the strongest institutional barrier to
the development of the country.” And now it is taking on new and unprecedented forms
in which the regions receiving federal largesse are aligned with Moscow against
the donor regions.
Most
of Russia’s federal subjects are not doing well and need federal subsidies, but
in taking funds from those subjects that are doing well, Moscow is keeping far
more for itself than it is transferring to the recipient ones; and it isn’t
willing to allow any discussion of direct transfers from one region to another.
As
a result, the donor regions are being forced to cut back in their support of
public services while the recipient ones aren’t able to maintain the levels
they had. The latter are becoming ever more indebted to the center, and the
center uses this as a weapon against the donors.
This means, the Tatar historian says, that all are
suffering but that Moscow can count on the recipients to continue to support
its centralizing drive against the donors while shifting the responsibility for
services away from itself and blaming the regions and republics for any
shortfall and ignoring the diversity of the situations of the federal subjects
across Russia.
“Today,” he concludes, “the reproduction of the
old institutions of imperial and soviet statehood in combination with new
institutions and their mutations” is overwhelming the entire country. The only
way forward, Fayzrakhmanov argues, is for all
the regions to coordinate their actions given that both donors and recipients
are victims of Moscow’s policies.
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