Paul
Goble
Staunton, March 23 –Vladislav Surkov’s
appearance at a conference organized by the Union of Donbass Volunteers and his
cooperation with such noxious and hitherto marginal figures like Konstantin Malofeyev
and Aleksandr Boroday is less about creating a new political movement than
about giving the Kremlin bullyboys to face down any Maidan, analysts say.
This meeting, which has been
overshadowed by the coronavirus pandemic, could prove to be a turning point in
Russian politics because with Surkov the group seeks to be not only a Russian
nationalist party on the right and a lobbyist for new aggression in Ukraine but
also a support for the Kremlin against its biggest fear, a Maidan inside
Russia.
One must always keep in mind, commentator
Aleksey Moshkov says, that the Kremlin most fears a Maidan and that it
recognizes that its “registered” Cossacks and the Russian Guard might not be
sufficient to put one down if the situation deteriorated into a series of mass
protests across the country (svpressa.ru/politic/article/260360/).
Malofeyev, Surkov and their team may
not be significant as a potential political party, but they could “offer the
Kremlin an informal force resource, having united under the aegis of ‘Civic
Forces’ the remaining Donbass fighters.” And these aren’t “homegrown Cossacks” but
“real soldiers” who are battle tested.
Moshkov quotes with approval the
words of another commentator, Maksim Shevchenko, who says that in that respect
this would be “a very serious force” that would have to be taken seriously. It would
be an instrument for political struggle” against those who might try to take
power (svpressa.ru/opinions/sptv/260179/).
According to Shevchenko, “the Union
of Donbass Volunteers is … a classic fascist movement, not fascist in the
propagandistic sense as we now say but fascist as it was said in the 1920s” in
which disappointed war veterans turned on those they believed had betrayed
them. Those who fought for Novorossiya feel much the same.
Such people, the commentator
continues, feel themselves to be “a new force” and are ready to fight for their
place in the sun. And like the fascists
in the 1920s, they are heavily influenced by poets and intellectuals. Indeed,
in many respects, Surkov is the Gabriele d’Annunzio of today.
But Moshkov suggests the Kremlin
will proceed cautiously with the development of such a force because it is very
well aware of the dangers an alternative center with its own military force would
represent. Moreover, the monarchism of Malofeyev isn’t the ideology Putin and
company want to promote.
Consequently, “the Surkov-Malofeyev
project” will most likely remain just that, a project. But that could all change
if the Putin regime feels genuinely threatened, Moshkov concludes.
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