Paul
Goble
Staunton, March 31 – The closing of
the border with China as a result of the coronavirus threatens to leave agriculture
and construction in the Far Eastern Federal District without the workers these
sectors need in the relatively short period of the year in which temperatures
are warm enough there for work to be done, Konstantin Mikhailov of the
EastRussia portal says.
Russian farms and construction
projects there had already been in trouble because of the restrictions imposed
on North Korean workers already two years ago as a result of sanctions, he
says. But the impact of closing the border to China threatens to be far larger
(eastrussia.ru/material/unesennye-koronavirusom-dfo-riskuet-ostatsya-bez-rabochikh/).
One of the largest
and most high visibility projects to be hit, Mikhail says, are the projects
announced for the modernization of 40 airports in the FD. Without Chinese
workers, these projects will be severely hampered or even stopped altogether.
Some Chinese have been unable to return home and are still working but far
fewer than needed.
Russian firms and farms are seeking
to find workers from elsewhere to replace the Chinese. Some are coming from
Central Asia – more than 100,000 workers arrived from Uzbekistan last year and
more are expected this – and additional but smaller numbers from other CIS and
Eurasian Economic Community countries.
But like the Chinese, they create
problems given the hostility they often encounter from local people, and
attracting them to this distant region is not easy either. However, there
simply aren’t enough Russian workers there to man the construction projects or work
the farms. And without an infusion, production will drop.
In a few sectors, the departure of
the Chinese has already stopped production: In Vladivostok, Mikhailov reports,
the Chinese have long dominated the concrete industry; and there aren’t any
replacements. Attracting people from European Russia or Asian countries other
than China won’t be easy and will certainly be costly.
And even in the shipbuilding
industry, the departure of the Chinese workers is having a depressing effect,
delaying projects and raising prices far beyond what had been planned. Managers are scrambling so that they do not
have to shut the yards and further raise unemployment in the area.
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