Paul Goble
Staunton, April 4 – March 18 was not
only a vote about the president of the Russian Federation. In the country’s
company towns, it was a vote about how local people feel about the oligarchs
who control their lives. In places where oligarchs are hated, the level of
participation and the vote for Putin was lower than in those where the oligarchs
were less despised.
That is the
conclusion Vasily Dyakonov offers in a close reading of the returns for the Versiya portal (versia.ru/pochemu-zhiteli-mnogix-monogorodov-golosovali-za-kommunistov), one that shows some company towns had high levels
of participation and support for Putin while other monogorody did not.
The analyst says
that the March vote offer no basis for speaking of any revival of the infamous
“red belt” of the 1990s, of regions which routinely voted for the communists,
or even for talk about some kind of a red archipelago of company towns. But voting in the monogorody does appear to have been a referendum about oligarchs
who control them.
In the absence of
any other way of expressing their feelings about those who control the
companies that determine the fate of their lives and despite voting for the incumbent president in every case, residents of some company
towns either refrained from voting or cast fewer votes for Putin than did those
in others, Dyakonov says. And those
differences are important.
They suggest – and Dyakonov does a
case by case analysis – that the company towns are not homogenous in their
feelings about the oligarchs as many have thought but rather diverge according to
their assessment of the social policies of the companies they head which
determine life in these places.
Although the Versiya
analyst doesn’t suggest it, it is entirely possible that some in the Kremlin
may be paying attention to these differences as well and that those oligarchs
whose behavior allowed Putin to get greater participation and a higher share of
the vote may be rewarded in future while those whose actions didn’t could be
punished.
In any case, Dyakonov’s article
represents an extremely useful reminder that in a political system where people
can vote on so few things, they may choose to express their views on issues of
greatest concern to themselves by their votes that at least superficially appear
to have little or nothing in common with their feelings.
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