Paul Goble
Staunton,
September 6 – Regionalism in Siberia and elsewhere grew at the end of Soviet
times, Aleksey Manannikov says, but then it faded because most of its
supporters continued to look to Moscow to realize its goals rather than acted
on their own to achieve them, the result of the hyper-centralization of typical
of most parts of the country that continues to this day.
And now,
the Siberian activist and politician says, the situation is far worse than 20
years ago; and despite the predictions of some that the current Russian system
is about to collapse, almost everything is moving in the other direction,
toward the restoration of an even more centralized Stalinist arrangement (afterempire.info/2018/09/05/manannikov/).
Consequently, while talk about “a United
States of Siberia” has its followers, the idea is still only “a beautiful dream”
rather than a realizable goal, unless and until the Siberians and other
regionalists recognize that they must count on themselves rather than
continuing to wait for Moscow to give them what they want because that isn’t
going to happen.
Mannikov describes
to Vyacheslav Puzeyev of the After Empire
portal the rise and fall of regionalism and with it of democracy at the end of
Soviet times and in the 1990s. He points to the important role of Yevgeny
Kushev’s program, “The Fates of Siberia,” on Radio Liberty in the 1980s,
something quite popular then but now long forgotten.
Then, at the end
of the 1980s, he notes, he and his colleagues set up the Siberian Information
agency in Novosibirsk which put out a press bulletin with a print run of “up to
15,000 copies” – although this had to be printed not in a Siberian city but in
the capital of Lithuania.
And he points to the
importance of Sibirskaya gazeta,
which was issued under the imprimatur of the Novosibirsk oblast committee of
the CPSU. All these outlets spoke abut the need for “the de-colonization of
Siberia,” and so Manannikov says it was entirely natural that he picked this up
as a political program during his election campaigns.
As to his broader
program, the activist says, he has forgotten many of the details, but one point
remains very much with him: He called then for an end to the use of Siberia as “all-union”
jail. “Now, there is already no all-union” one there, but there is “an
all-Russian” variant as the Sentsov case shows.
Regionalist ideas
at that time were widespread, but “it is difficult to say that the Russian
people and the population of Siberia [in fact] struggled for their freedoms.”
They took what Mikhail Gorbachev remarkably gave them, and they were prepared
to take what Boris Yeltsin offered when he said that the regions should take as
much freedom as they could.
But they did not
demand these things. Instead, they generally waited for them to be offered. “All
their hopes were on the central authorities and this naturally limited the
possibilities for regionalism.” Chechnya and Tatarstan were exceptions – they didn’t
sign the Federal Treaty I 1992 – but the others went right along.
The 1993
Constitution “of course declared federalism,” but this was not carried out. And
because the skeleton of the empire was not dismantled, “a new consolidation [of
the country] on an imperial basis occurred, and gradually the special services
became the real power” in place of the people.
“Already in the 1990s,
the central authorities gradually strengthened themselves at the expense of the
regions, but up to a point, this took place informally. After 1999, however,
when Putin came to power, this was already written directly into the laws and
into the operational instructions” Moscow issued.
Initially, in
1993-1995, the Federation Council of which Manannikov was a member, was “freely
and directly chosen by the population.” And it included people who were quite
prepared to act like senators, people like Boris Nemtsov, Yury Boldyrev and
Ruslan Aushev; but they were then replaced by others who simply took orders
from above.
What happened was
thus “not only the suppression of federalism but het complete and final
suppression of parliamentarianism as well,” the Siberian activist says.
Manannikov says he
is very pessimistic about the future and believes that the analyst who has
gotten that right more often than anyone else is Irina Pavlova, a
Novosibirsk-trained historian who now lives in the United States and has her
own widely read blog online -- ivpavlova.blogspot.com/.
She argues convincingly,
the Siberian regionalist says, that the regime which Putin and the special
services in Russia have established is little different by the mechanisms of
its functioning from the Stalinist regime” and that this regime “is only strengthening
day by day,” not yet to the level of totalitarianism and mass repressions but
in that direction.
And the greatest
misfortune is that “no end to this regime is visible!” There is no Gorbachev
miracle on the horizon. Instead, in Russia today, “there is a totalitarian leadership
system like that in North Korea but one that has been able to adapt itself to
the contemporary world and world capitalism. In this is its strength.”
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