Paul Goble
Staunton,
February 4 – Many non-Russian republics like Chechnya and Ingushetia get more
than 70 percent of their budgets from Moscow, Natalya Zubarevich says; but the
largest monetary flows are going not to them but to Crimea and Sevastopol, “more
than 100 billion rubles (1.6 billion US dollars)” last year alone.
The
regional specialist at the Moscow Independent Institute of Social Policy says
that even all the republics of the North Caucasus taken together received only
half as much. Each person in Crimea received almost five times as much in
federal subsidies as Russians in the country as a whole (sobesednik.ru/politika/20190128-natalya-zubarevich-dengi-v-krym-tekut-rekoj).
One can truly say,
Zubarevich continues, that federal money is flowing to the peninsula “like a
river,” something Russians may not have opposed when they were still affected by
the “Crime is ours” euphoria but that is increasingly unsupportable five years
on when they decidedly are not.
Moscow has been spending these enormous
sums in Crimea, she says, “in order to show how happy life is in the Russian
Federation.” But while it may have some success on the peninsula, that success
is perhaps overwhelmed by the fact that all this spending is being financed by “other
subjects of the Russian Federation.”
Zubarevich says that she cannot call
this policy just and she cannot say that other regions think it is either. “But
other federal authorities are not interested in the opinion of the subjects:
they take decisions on their own” without reference to what others think or
feel. And these other regions not only are getting less but now can see that
they are as well.
Except for a few months before the
presidential elections last year, Moscow has not increased transfer payments to
all the others and it is unlikely to do so or even, given its current policy
mix, be able to do next year. Crimea
meanwhile is developing in a way that is neither sustainable nor desirable.
Almost all the development
on the peninsula, she says, is the result of government money, about 85 percent
of investments come from the budget because there is little interest among
private entrepreneurs in investing there. As a result, in Crimea, “state
capitalism with certain feudal aspects” is being established.
That should be a warning sign to
Moscow, Zubarevich says, especially given the Chechen precedent. One can “feed” a region for a long time on
rich food, “but to shift it to a healthy diet already is very difficult.”
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