Paul
Goble
Staunton, August 7 – Ukrainian
President Vladimir Zelensky by showing on all occasions that he is for peace
isn’t going to make significant concessions to get it because Russian President
Vladimir Putin doesn’t want peace but rather the continuation of the “no war,
no peace” situation, Vladimir Pastukhov says.
But the London-based Russian analyst
argues that Zelensky is achieving two important things by taking the position
he has. On the one hand, he is consolidating Ukrainian society which is overwhelmingly
tired of the war; and on the other, he is making Putin look bad in the eyes of
the West (echo.msk.ru/programs/personalnovash/2477795-echo/).
Pastukhov has argued since April 2014 that
Ukraine needs peace, even a Brest Peace, if it is to address its domestic problems
but noted then and now that Putin isn’t interested in giving him one and thus a
victory. (For a discussion of Pastukhov’s position at that time, see windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2014/04/window-on-eurasia-to-save-its.html.)
Zelensky has been criticized, the Russian analyst
says, for calling Putin and trying to begin talks. “But that you begin doing so
does not mean that you will make concessions.” Politics, Pastukhov reminds is “the
art of the possible. And Zelensky is doing what is possible and necessary” given
where he and Ukraine now are.
Those who fear he is going to make some
kind of massive concession are wrong “for one simple reasons: In Ukraine there
exists a feedback loop, and he will not be able to do anything which society
does not accept. At least at the present stage until he becomes a Hitler,” Pastukhov
says.
Thus, he continues, Zelensky is conducting
himself in a politically correct way. He is showing his readiness for peace
[event though] he understands better than you or me that there is no prospect
of that. But in this way, he demonstrates that from his side there are no problems,”
and Putin’s rejection of his proffered hand makes Putin look worse in the West.
Up to now, Pastukhov continues, “Russia
isn’t interested in any peace talks. It has no motivation to help Ukraine: its
motivation is to undermine Ukraine. Therefore, I do not think that n the
establishment of Ukraine are people who naively support that they will receive
some sort of answer. And corresponding to that, they are solving their own
tasks.”
“Their task now is to stabilize society
and find a new consensus, a new balance of relations between the Ukrainian establishment
and Ukrainian society. This balance was lost by the previous revolutionary government
for two reasons.” First, it didn’t solve the problem of corruption. And second,
it cast itself as “a party of war” when the people were tired of the conflict.
“Ukrainian society does not see
itself as a society of war,” Pastukhov says; and the elections which Zelensky
won in such a convincing fashion were the result. Ukrainians overwhelmingly
want peace. Unfortunately, Moscow isn’t interested in giving it to them. But
seeking it in the way Zelensky is doing is the right strategy under the circumstances.
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