Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 18 – The hatred of the
mass population for elites that control much of the current situation rather
than their identification with the right or left as in the past lies behind political
developments not only in both Russia and the US but in an increasing number of
countries around the world, according to Maksim Kalashnikov.
Elites may and do seek to counter
individual manifestations of this hatred by mobilizing such hatred in support
of their own goals, invariably casting them as challenging “the deep state” or
the oligarchs as the common enemy, the Russian commentator says. But that in no
way vitiates the hatred or the revolutionary nature of the present (vpk-news.ru/articles/57392).
In the current issue of the influential Voyenno-Promyshlenny
Kuryer, Kalashnikov argues that we are now confronted by “a worldwide
revolutionary situation” that governments and elites more generally have no choice
but to try to channel or counter, raising the question in particular of what
the Kremlin will try to do next.
Preparations for the July 1 referendum
show that the Kremlin has lost all support from the population at large, that
no one believes that the step is about anything but keeping those in now power
in power forever, and that whatever results are announced, the Russian people
have decided are irrelevant.
The Russian people are suffering,
especially beyond the ring road, because of the thievery of the elites and the
failure of the latter to take notice of these problems and try to do anything
serious about them. The situation has not yet reached the point of open revolt;
but if conditions continue to deteriorate, it will.
“The
hatred of the lower classed for ‘elites’ is breaking out everywhere,”
Kalashnikov continues, because those on top whether on the left or the right have
become “’a cursed caste’” concerned only about protecting what they have and
ensuring that they can continue to exploit everyone else.
This has consequences: Belarusians are finally
angry enough to vote out Alyaksandr Lukasheka thus depriving Moscow of its only
ally and completing the formation of “a cordon sanitaire” against Russia along
its Western border, the commentator says. But it also has direct consequences
elsewhere.
Tensions are growing as a result within
the United States whose leader Donald Trump at least has a strategy: playing up
the Chinese threat to justify the reindustrialization of his country in order
to dig in for the long haul and play to the interests of those for whom
manufacturing jobs are the best route into the middle class.
Moscow in contrast doesn’t have a strategy
behind making broad pronouncements, Kalashnikov says. It acts as if nothing fundamental has changed and as if the mass population is
still on its side. Neither is true:
hatred of the lower classes for the elites is growing, and using force alone to
keep the former in line won’t work.
Not only will it now likely fail to
intimidate but it will also and certainly do nothing to put Russia in a good
defensive situation. Instead, the Russian economy will head toward collapse
ever more quickly. The US can then count
on picking up the remaining pieces it didn’t gain in 1991, even as it confronts
China.
Trump’s strategy to try to ride popular
anger against elites may ultimately fail, but he has as strategy, as Putin does
not; and that suggests, Kalashnikov says, that Russia’s prospects for avoiding
a dramatic settlement between masses and elites are far less bright than the
denizen of the Kremlin thinks.
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