Paul
Goble
Staunton, August 3 – No one should
forget that in the late 1980s, mass protest actions in the USSR began first far
from the Soviet capital and only later came to Moscow. In April 1986, for
example, Yakuts marched under the slogan “Yakutia for the Yakuts,” and in
December, Kazakhs protested Moscow’s removal of their leader and installation
of an outsider.
These actions were followed by
demonstrations in Karabakh, the Baltic republics, Georgia, Ukraine and
elsewhere and by strikes in Vorkuta, Karaganda, and the Donbass. The first mass
meeting in Moscow in perestroika times occurred only in May 1989 when some
150,000 people assembled in Luzhniki.
That history is especially worth
recalling now, Russian regionalist historian Andrey Degtyanov says, because it
is being repeated. And the continuing
protests in Khabarovsk in fact build on demonstrations in Shiyes, the Nenets
Autonomous District, and opposition moves in the Komi Republic and Ryazan
Oblast (region.expert/new-people/).
And even opposition figure Aleksey
Navalny, always a bellwether of Russian trends, has recently been adopting
“regionalist rhetoric” (windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2020/07/russia-now-plantation-for-rich-moscow.html
and windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2020/08/long-dormant-institutions-of-democracy.html).
(According to Degtyanov, the
protests of 2011-2013 which were centered on Moscow were an anomaly and not the
typical pattern of protests in Russia. Now, he suggests, with Khabarovsk,
things have returned to where they are when the country itself is descending into
difficulties.)
To understand why the periphery
takes the lead, one must understand that Russia lacks “a geographic metropolitan
center.” Instead, “Moscow is just as much a province without rights as Ryazan
or Khabarovsk. “The metropolitan center”
of the country is not a place but rather “a police-trading corporation.”
Moreover, in contrast to other
empires, Russia lacks a fully self-conscious stratum of colonizers. And in
addition, there is “an obvious lack of correspondence between the imperial
power in the regions with the social-economic realities of the beginning of the
third millennium, as Vladislav Inozemtsev has been warning.
As the economist puts it, “Moscow
today governs territories where the very same Russians as at the center of the country
live but who do not receive the benefits and do not have the same level of life
as does the population of the capital city”
(windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2020/07/protests-by-russians-east-of-urals.html).
And in addition to these and making the
situation still worse, Degtyanov argues, is the fact that “the Kremlin’s
colonial policy lacks an adequate ideological basis.” There is no talk of “’the
white man’s burden’” or “civilizing mission.” There are no modernizing
projects. There is “only the cult of ‘the great past’ which must be defended
against any review.”
The periphery, which includes what
some call “the deep Russia” is thus condemned to a future of ever greater
impoverishment and with no inspiring models.
Not surprisingly, this can’t be counted on to last forever. It can’t
even withstand a serious crisis of the kind Russia now is confronted with.
Regionalism is “a serious problem
for the Kremlin,” which isn’t willing to talk about either genuine federalism
or a new agreement, attacking those who engage in it as “extremists.” It only wants to maintain control so that it
can enrich itself, even though that means beggaring the entire rest of the country.
Putin has tried various tactics to
obscure the fundamental “contradiction” between the corporate metropolitan
center and ‘deep Russia.’” But with oil revenue gone, he has fewer and fewer
resources to cover up this naked wound. He and his system cannot solve any of the
problems of “the deep Russia” and members of this other Russia can now see
that.
What is now reemerging is something
Russia has seen before – the populism which supported the country’s largest
party in 1917: the Social Revolutionaries. They lost out to the more disciplined
Bolsheviks, but such people aren’t going to lose out again at least in the
longer term.
Today, Putin is reprising the centralist
drive of Lenin’s party while the people are coming out again in favor of decentralization
and local control, two ideas at the center of Russian populism. Because of Russia’s
historical traditions, many are better on the former rather than the latter.
But that may now be a mistake.
“Populism in Russia,” Degtyarov
argues, “is a response to the crisis of a centralized imperial system with its
official ‘nationality,’” when people can see that they are being impoverished
with little hope of progress under the existing regime and thus are driven to
seek its replacement.
If regionalist groups coalesce with
populist ones, he concludes, then there is a chance that “today’s regionalists will
become the new populist movement and reflect the flourishing complexity of
those who live in the varied spaces” of Russia and who want justice without
repression at long, long last.
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