Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 12 – If Kyiv were
forced to introduce Russian-style federalism in Ukraine as Moscow is demanding,
the consequences would be that “the sphere of use of the Russian language would
not increase” as many imagine “but contract,” according to Kirill Yankov, a
member of the Yabloko Party and a researcher at the Moscow Center for Strategic
Planning.
In an article entitled “The
Ukrainian Mirror of Russian Federalism,” Yankov says that some Russians in
Ukraine and far more in Russia think that federalism would protect ethnic
Russians and Russian speakers in Ukraine from Ukrainianization, but such hopes
are not justified (udf.by/news/main_news/99786-ukrainskoe-zerkalo-rossiyskogo-federalizma.html).
Consequently, if
the federalization of Ukraine that the Kremlin is pushing were to achieve its
ends, he says, it would have to be a very different kind of federal system than
the one now operating in the Russian Federation, he continues.
At present, as the expert points
out, “a subject of the federation does not have the right to ban or otherwise
limit the activities on its territory of organizations legally registered in another
subject.” Moreover, it does not have the right to limit the influx of people
from outside or to allow political parties other than those registered in
Moscow to operate.
Given that, Yankov says, it is worth
comparing “the possibilities for the Russian language in a Ukrainian region
with the possibilities of the national language in the republics of Russia.”
Russian law says that “no one can
prohibit the use of national languages in the media, book publishing and even
more in everyday life.” But in fact,
Russian dominates almost everything, especially in government and business. And those spheres with rare exceptions
“work only in Russian.”
Yankov offers a comparison between Ukraine’s
Donetsk Oblast where 75 percent of the population speaks Russian at the present
time and the Republic of Tyva in the Russian Federation, 79.5 percent of whose
population declares that Tuvan is their native language. But in fact, 67 percent of their children are
in Russian-language schools and above the 9th class, there is only
Russian language instruction.
In several non-Russian languages of the
Russian Federation – Tatar, Bashkir, Sakha and “three or four others”-- members of the titular nation can complete
secondary schools in their native languages, and the Kazan Tatars have tried to
extend this to higher education as well. But non-Russians who do, he points
out, nevertheless have to take entrance exams in Russian.
On the streets in these non-Russian
republics, there are signs in the national languages, but in most the Russian
signs are even more numerous – and that extends to goods and services and
official forms as well. In the eastern portions of Ukraine, Russian dominates the educational system and
all parts of the public space.
Is that what Russian speakers want in a
federalized Ukraine? If Moscow succeeds
in forcing the Ukrainians to adopt Russian-style federalism in the name of
protecting ethnic Russians, the result will be a reduction in the use of
Russian not an increase, whatever the Kremlin now says.
Indeed, Yankov suggests, “one could say
that such federalization would completely correspond to the interests of
Ukrainian nationalists who are concerned about the extension of Ukrainianization
and the exclusion of the Russian language from day to day life” in their
country.
Clearly, many Moscow advocates of
federalization for Ukraine do not know how Russian federalism functions in
practice. If they created real
federalism in Ukraine, they would thus create more demands for the same thing
in the Russian Federation, something they equally clearly do not want.
If Russians were prepared as they should
be to create real federalism at home, something that would offer real
possibilities for the non-Russians among them, then, Yankov says, “the Russian
model of federalism perhaps would acquire characteristics that would be
attractive for national and linguistic minorities abroad.”
Until they are, however, there is little
or no chance of that. Instead, pushing for Russian-style federalism abroad will
have just the opposite outcome that its authors are hoping for.
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