Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 13 – Despite the
Russian government’s claims that it is on track to open east-west and
north-south corridors that will change international geo-economics to Russia’s
advantage, in fact, Moscow has failed to build the infrastructure within its
own borders to support these corridors.
And that failure, Igor Leonidov
argues today in a commentary for Stoletie.ru, also has serious consequences for
Russia’s domestic economic and political development as a whole and especially
for relations among the regions and between them and the center (stoletie.ru/geopolitika/jug_rossii_transportnyje_razryvy_257.htm).
Officials told a recent meeting of the
Trade-Industrial Chamber of the Russian Federation that long-planned railways
intended to connect Rostov, Stavropol, Kalmykia and the Lower Volga will not be
built anytime soon and that a shipping route between Taganrog and Kerch will
not be developed either.
That will mean, Leonidov says, that
Russia will continue to lose out to others in the carrying of Asian and Central
Asian cargo to Europe and will be unable to support the development of ties
with Russian-occupied Crimea regardless of whether the much-ballyhooed bridge
to the Ukrainian peninsula is ever built or not.
Igor Burakov, head of the Investment
Agency of Rostov Oblast, told the meeting that many of the plans for these
railways had first surfaced in the 1950s and have been put off “already six
times,” something that means few businesses and even fewer foreign governments
are prepared to count on Russia’s ever building them.
One consequence of this is that
Asian and Caucasian countries are already choosing to send their cargo via
other routes bypassing Russia, something that cost Moscow last year alone at
least 250 million US dollars. In the
future, given that Russia is unlikely to build any such lines soon, that figure
will grow, all of Moscow’s bombast notwithstanding.
The likelihood that no such train
routes will be constructed in Russia anytime soon not only means that Moscow
has de facto ceded victory to other
countries in the trade wars, Leonidov says. But the lack of such arteries is
leading to “social-economic stagnation of many regions, separate them one from
another, and make their links with ‘the center’ and with the external world
more difficult.”
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